Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 17°C (39.5% implied probability) for Warsaw on April 18, driven by the latest Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) weekly forecast and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models, which cluster maximums around 15-18°C amid moderate cloud cover, northwesterly winds, and scattered showers in central Poland. Yesterday's observation at Warsaw Chopin Airport hit 15°C on April 16, with April 17 forecasts near 14-16°C, setting a baseline for mild spring conditions slightly above the 13°C monthly average but below recent warmer anomalies. Uncertainty stems from variable insolation and frontal timing, with overnight model updates potentially shifting odds before resolution based on official IMGW station data.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 18?
17°C 40%
18°C 27%
16°C 16%
19°C 11%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
16%
17°C
40%
18°C
27%
19°C
11%
20°C or higher
4%
17°C 40%
18°C 27%
16°C 16%
19°C 11%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
10°C or below
$1,923 Hac.
<1%
11°C
$1,548 Hac.
<1%
12°C
$1,109 Hac.
<1%
13°C
$915 Hac.
1%
14°C
$1,203 Hac.
1%
15°C
$245 Hac.
6%
16°C
$246 Hac.
16%
17°C
$313 Hac.
40%
18°C
$295 Hac.
27%
19°C
$686 Hac.
11%
20°C or higher
$1,136 Hac.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 17°C (39.5% implied probability) for Warsaw on April 18, driven by the latest Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) weekly forecast and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models, which cluster maximums around 15-18°C amid moderate cloud cover, northwesterly winds, and scattered showers in central Poland. Yesterday's observation at Warsaw Chopin Airport hit 15°C on April 16, with April 17 forecasts near 14-16°C, setting a baseline for mild spring conditions slightly above the 13°C monthly average but below recent warmer anomalies. Uncertainty stems from variable insolation and frontal timing, with overnight model updates potentially shifting odds before resolution based on official IMGW station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Hacim
$9,619Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 17°C (39.5% implied probability) for Warsaw on April 18, driven by the latest Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) weekly forecast and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models, which cluster maximums around 15-18°C amid moderate cloud cover, northwesterly winds, and scattered showers in central Poland. Yesterday's observation at Warsaw Chopin Airport hit 15°C on April 16, with April 17 forecasts near 14-16°C, setting a baseline for mild spring conditions slightly above the 13°C monthly average but below recent warmer anomalies. Uncertainty stems from variable insolation and frontal timing, with overnight model updates potentially shifting odds before resolution based on official IMGW station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$9,619Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 17°C (39.5% implied probability) for Warsaw on April 18, driven by the latest Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) weekly forecast and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models, which cluster maximums around 15-18°C amid moderate cloud cover, northwesterly winds, and scattered showers in central Poland. Yesterday's observation at Warsaw Chopin Airport hit 15°C on April 16, with April 17 forecasts near 14-16°C, setting a baseline for mild spring conditions slightly above the 13°C monthly average but below recent warmer anomalies. Uncertainty stems from variable insolation and frontal timing, with overnight model updates potentially shifting odds before resolution based on official IMGW station data.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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