Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service Chicago guidance, clustering highest temperatures at O'Hare International Airport—the official observing site—around 49-51°F on April 19, following a cold frontal passage after unseasonably warm conditions on April 17. Persistent northwest winds of 10-20 mph advect cooler Canadian air, while lingering mid-level clouds limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating, keeping readings 10°F below the 60.4°F climatological normal. Model spread differentiates the tight 48-49°F (33%) and 50-51°F (34.5%) leaders: ECMWF ensembles favor greater cloud persistence and chillier boundary layer, while GFS hints at minor southerly shear enabling slight afternoon peaks near 51°F. Updated 12Z model runs and hourly observations today could refine this razor-thin margin before resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Chicago on April 19?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 19?
50-51°F 37%
48-49°F 33%
52-53°F 16%
46-47°F 7.3%
YENİ
$17,128 Hac.
YENİ
$17,128 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
43°F or below
1%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
33%
50-51°F
37%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
6%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62°F or higher
<1%
50-51°F 37%
48-49°F 33%
52-53°F 16%
46-47°F 7.3%
YENİ
$17,128 Hac.
YENİ
$17,128 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
43°F or below
$3,417 Hac.
1%
44-45°F
$1,611 Hac.
2%
46-47°F
$1,747 Hac.
7%
48-49°F
$949 Hac.
33%
50-51°F
$1,002 Hac.
37%
52-53°F
$635 Hac.
16%
54-55°F
$708 Hac.
6%
56-57°F
$1,163 Hac.
1%
58-59°F
$1,160 Hac.
1%
60-61°F
$1,823 Hac.
1%
62°F or higher
$2,912 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service Chicago guidance, clustering highest temperatures at O'Hare International Airport—the official observing site—around 49-51°F on April 19, following a cold frontal passage after unseasonably warm conditions on April 17. Persistent northwest winds of 10-20 mph advect cooler Canadian air, while lingering mid-level clouds limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating, keeping readings 10°F below the 60.4°F climatological normal. Model spread differentiates the tight 48-49°F (33%) and 50-51°F (34.5%) leaders: ECMWF ensembles favor greater cloud persistence and chillier boundary layer, while GFS hints at minor southerly shear enabling slight afternoon peaks near 51°F. Updated 12Z model runs and hourly observations today could refine this razor-thin margin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Hacim
$17,128Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service Chicago guidance, clustering highest temperatures at O'Hare International Airport—the official observing site—around 49-51°F on April 19, following a cold frontal passage after unseasonably warm conditions on April 17. Persistent northwest winds of 10-20 mph advect cooler Canadian air, while lingering mid-level clouds limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating, keeping readings 10°F below the 60.4°F climatological normal. Model spread differentiates the tight 48-49°F (33%) and 50-51°F (34.5%) leaders: ECMWF ensembles favor greater cloud persistence and chillier boundary layer, while GFS hints at minor southerly shear enabling slight afternoon peaks near 51°F. Updated 12Z model runs and hourly observations today could refine this razor-thin margin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$17,128Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service Chicago guidance, clustering highest temperatures at O'Hare International Airport—the official observing site—around 49-51°F on April 19, following a cold frontal passage after unseasonably warm conditions on April 17. Persistent northwest winds of 10-20 mph advect cooler Canadian air, while lingering mid-level clouds limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating, keeping readings 10°F below the 60.4°F climatological normal. Model spread differentiates the tight 48-49°F (33%) and 50-51°F (34.5%) leaders: ECMWF ensembles favor greater cloud persistence and chillier boundary layer, while GFS hints at minor southerly shear enabling slight afternoon peaks near 51°F. Updated 12Z model runs and hourly observations today could refine this razor-thin margin before resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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