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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?

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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?

Nis 16

Nis 17

Nis 18

Nis 16

Nis 17

Nis 18

29°C 36%

28°C 34%

30°C 17%

27°C 10%

Polymarket
YENİ

$10,126 Hac.

29°C 36%

28°C 34%

30°C 17%

27°C 10%

Polymarket
YENİ

$10,126 Hac.

21°C or below

$1,176 Hac.

<1%

22°C

$2,169 Hac.

<1%

23°C

$1,883 Hac.

<1%

24°C

$1,375 Hac.

<1%

25°C

$1,828 Hac.

<1%

26°C

$423 Hac.

4%

27°C

$351 Hac.

10%

28°C

$189 Hac.

29%

29°C

$242 Hac.

36%

30°C

$193 Hac.

24%

31°C or higher

$315 Hac.

10%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated April 16, projects a 24–29°C temperature range for April 18 under sunny intervals with isolated showers and high humidity (70–95%), driven by a persistent southerly airstream supplying warm, moist air from the Guangdong coast. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (35.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 28°C (29.0%) and 30°C (23.5%), as urban areas like the Observatory site often peak near the upper end during such conditions, though cloud cover could cap highs lower. Recent days saw April 15 max at 28°C and April 16 nearing 30°C amid hot spells, exceeding April climatological norms of ~25°C. Daily HKO updates tomorrow will refine model consensus on peak intensity.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$10,126
Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated April 16, projects a 24–29°C temperature range for April 18 under sunny intervals with isolated showers and high humidity (70–95%), driven by a persistent southerly airstream supplying warm, moist air from the Guangdong coast. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (35.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 28°C (29.0%) and 30°C (23.5%), as urban areas like the Observatory site often peak near the upper end during such conditions, though cloud cover could cap highs lower. Recent days saw April 15 max at 28°C and April 16 nearing 30°C amid hot spells, exceeding April climatological norms of ~25°C. Daily HKO updates tomorrow will refine model consensus on peak intensity.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$10,126
Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 11 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 36% ile "29°C", ardından 29% ile "28°C" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 36¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 36% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?" toplam $10.1K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Apr 16, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 11 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?" için mevcut favori 36% ile "29°C"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 36% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 29% ile "28°C"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.