Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 18, with 20°C (29.5%) edging 19°C (28.0%) amid converging ECMWF and GFS projections near 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent model runs show a 1–2°C spread due to variable cloud cover and urban heat effects at the resolving station, likely Shanghai Pudong International Airport, against April climatological highs averaging 19–20°C. A passing cold front earlier in the week has dissipated, allowing mild subtropical monsoon influences to dominate, but diurnal temperature ranges could tip outcomes. Watch tomorrow's 00Z model updates from NOAA and CMA for shifts, as inherent 2–3 day forecast divergence persists.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 18?
19°C 28%
20°C 26%
21°C 15%
18°C 14%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
28%
20°C
26%
21°C
15%
22°C
10%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
19°C 28%
20°C 26%
21°C 15%
18°C 14%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
15°C or below
$720 Hac.
1%
16°C
$859 Hac.
2%
17°C
$308 Hac.
6%
18°C
$337 Hac.
14%
19°C
$65 Hac.
28%
20°C
$54 Hac.
26%
21°C
$212 Hac.
15%
22°C
$387 Hac.
10%
23°C
$135 Hac.
3%
24°C
$153 Hac.
3%
25°C or higher
$127 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 18, with 20°C (29.5%) edging 19°C (28.0%) amid converging ECMWF and GFS projections near 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent model runs show a 1–2°C spread due to variable cloud cover and urban heat effects at the resolving station, likely Shanghai Pudong International Airport, against April climatological highs averaging 19–20°C. A passing cold front earlier in the week has dissipated, allowing mild subtropical monsoon influences to dominate, but diurnal temperature ranges could tip outcomes. Watch tomorrow's 00Z model updates from NOAA and CMA for shifts, as inherent 2–3 day forecast divergence persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Hacim
$3,339Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 18, with 20°C (29.5%) edging 19°C (28.0%) amid converging ECMWF and GFS projections near 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent model runs show a 1–2°C spread due to variable cloud cover and urban heat effects at the resolving station, likely Shanghai Pudong International Airport, against April climatological highs averaging 19–20°C. A passing cold front earlier in the week has dissipated, allowing mild subtropical monsoon influences to dominate, but diurnal temperature ranges could tip outcomes. Watch tomorrow's 00Z model updates from NOAA and CMA for shifts, as inherent 2–3 day forecast divergence persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$3,339Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 18, with 20°C (29.5%) edging 19°C (28.0%) amid converging ECMWF and GFS projections near 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent model runs show a 1–2°C spread due to variable cloud cover and urban heat effects at the resolving station, likely Shanghai Pudong International Airport, against April climatological highs averaging 19–20°C. A passing cold front earlier in the week has dissipated, allowing mild subtropical monsoon influences to dominate, but diurnal temperature ranges could tip outcomes. Watch tomorrow's 00Z model updates from NOAA and CMA for shifts, as inherent 2–3 day forecast divergence persists.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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