Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Shanghai on April 17, with 99.7% implied probability, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations confirming the peak reached exactly 20°C amid persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS aligned on highs near 20°C due to a cool air mass over eastern China, consistent with April climatology where average highs hover around 19°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of observational data over forecasts. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon clearing allowing brief solar warming to 21°C before sunset around 6:30 PM local time, though low clouds and short daylight window make this improbable; final daily reports expected by evening.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi17 Nisan'da Şangay'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?
17 Nisan'da Şangay'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?
20°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C veya daha yüksek <1%
$231,648 Hac.
$231,648 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C veya daha yüksek
<1%
20°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C veya daha yüksek <1%
$231,648 Hac.
$231,648 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
20°C
$36,699 Hac.
100%
21°C
$41,163 Hac.
<1%
22°C
$21,856 Hac.
<1%
23°C veya daha yüksek
$23,757 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Shanghai on April 17, with 99.7% implied probability, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations confirming the peak reached exactly 20°C amid persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS aligned on highs near 20°C due to a cool air mass over eastern China, consistent with April climatology where average highs hover around 19°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of observational data over forecasts. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon clearing allowing brief solar warming to 21°C before sunset around 6:30 PM local time, though low clouds and short daylight window make this improbable; final daily reports expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Hacim
$231,648Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Shanghai on April 17, with 99.7% implied probability, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations confirming the peak reached exactly 20°C amid persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS aligned on highs near 20°C due to a cool air mass over eastern China, consistent with April climatology where average highs hover around 19°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of observational data over forecasts. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon clearing allowing brief solar warming to 21°C before sunset around 6:30 PM local time, though low clouds and short daylight window make this improbable; final daily reports expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$231,648Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Shanghai on April 17, with 99.7% implied probability, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations confirming the peak reached exactly 20°C amid persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS aligned on highs near 20°C due to a cool air mass over eastern China, consistent with April climatology where average highs hover around 19°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of observational data over forecasts. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon clearing allowing brief solar warming to 21°C before sunset around 6:30 PM local time, though low clouds and short daylight window make this improbable; final daily reports expected by evening.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular