Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17 at 28°C under clear skies with light winds below 3 m/s, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (33.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%), as these align with ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS showing peak afternoon heating around 28-29°C. The close contest reflects inherent short-range uncertainty in maximum surface temperatures, influenced by solar insolation variability and potential afternoon cloud development in the humid Sichuan Basin. Recent warming after mid-April's cooler spells (e.g., 16-24°C highs) stems from a high-pressure ridge, exceeding seasonal norms of ~22°C. Hourly observational updates from CMA stations will refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
28°C 34%
29°C 30%
27°C 16%
26°C 9%
YENİ
$14,241 Hac.
YENİ
$14,241 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
16%
28°C
34%
29°C
30%
30°C
9%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 34%
29°C 30%
27°C 16%
26°C 9%
YENİ
$14,241 Hac.
YENİ
$14,241 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
22°C or below
$2,509 Hac.
<1%
23°C
$3,920 Hac.
<1%
24°C
$1,568 Hac.
1%
25°C
$1,234 Hac.
2%
26°C
$591 Hac.
9%
27°C
$644 Hac.
16%
28°C
$403 Hac.
34%
29°C
$304 Hac.
30%
30°C
$809 Hac.
9%
31°C
$1,027 Hac.
4%
32°C or higher
$1,271 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17 at 28°C under clear skies with light winds below 3 m/s, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (33.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%), as these align with ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS showing peak afternoon heating around 28-29°C. The close contest reflects inherent short-range uncertainty in maximum surface temperatures, influenced by solar insolation variability and potential afternoon cloud development in the humid Sichuan Basin. Recent warming after mid-April's cooler spells (e.g., 16-24°C highs) stems from a high-pressure ridge, exceeding seasonal norms of ~22°C. Hourly observational updates from CMA stations will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Hacim
$14,241Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17 at 28°C under clear skies with light winds below 3 m/s, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (33.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%), as these align with ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS showing peak afternoon heating around 28-29°C. The close contest reflects inherent short-range uncertainty in maximum surface temperatures, influenced by solar insolation variability and potential afternoon cloud development in the humid Sichuan Basin. Recent warming after mid-April's cooler spells (e.g., 16-24°C highs) stems from a high-pressure ridge, exceeding seasonal norms of ~22°C. Hourly observational updates from CMA stations will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$14,241Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17 at 28°C under clear skies with light winds below 3 m/s, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (33.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%), as these align with ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS showing peak afternoon heating around 28-29°C. The close contest reflects inherent short-range uncertainty in maximum surface temperatures, influenced by solar insolation variability and potential afternoon cloud development in the humid Sichuan Basin. Recent warming after mid-April's cooler spells (e.g., 16-24°C highs) stems from a high-pressure ridge, exceeding seasonal norms of ~22°C. Hourly observational updates from CMA stations will refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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