Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Milan's highest temperature on April 18, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe advecting warm southerly air masses, as confirmed in ARPA Lombardia's April 15 bulletin noting plains highs rising to 23-25°C through the weekend. MeteoLive and 3B Meteo ensembles project peaks of 24-25°C under partly cloudy skies with light SSE winds enhancing daytime heating, 4-6°C above April climatological norms of 18-19°C at Milano Linate Airport. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 23°C versus clearer skies allowing 25°C, with GFS/ECMWF runs showing minor spread; new 12Z model updates expected April 16-17 could refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Milan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?
24°C 34%
23°C 26%
25°C 26%
26°C 15%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
26%
24°C
34%
25°C
26%
26°C
15%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 34%
23°C 26%
25°C 26%
26°C 15%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
26%
24°C
34%
25°C
26%
26°C
15%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Milan's highest temperature on April 18, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe advecting warm southerly air masses, as confirmed in ARPA Lombardia's April 15 bulletin noting plains highs rising to 23-25°C through the weekend. MeteoLive and 3B Meteo ensembles project peaks of 24-25°C under partly cloudy skies with light SSE winds enhancing daytime heating, 4-6°C above April climatological norms of 18-19°C at Milano Linate Airport. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 23°C versus clearer skies allowing 25°C, with GFS/ECMWF runs showing minor spread; new 12Z model updates expected April 16-17 could refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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