Latest National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA project San Francisco's highest temperature on April 18 at around 68°F, driving trader consensus to 57.5% implied probability for 68°F or higher amid a building upper-level ridge offshore that weakens the persistent marine layer and promotes northerly winds for enhanced daytime heating. Recent observations show below-normal highs, such as 61°F at SFO on April 14 versus a climatological April average of 64–66°F, but the past 24 hours' model runs—GFS and ECMWF ensembles—indicate amplifying geopotential heights and reduced stratocumulus cloud cover, shifting odds upward from cooler bins like 66–67°F at 28.5%. Uncertainty lingers from potential coastal fog resurgence; watch evening forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 18?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 18?
68°F or higher 66%
66-67°F 21%
64-65°F 10%
62-63°F 2.9%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
28%
68°F or higher
61%
68°F or higher 66%
66-67°F 21%
64-65°F 10%
62-63°F 2.9%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
49°F or below
$981 Hac.
1%
50-51°F
$849 Hac.
1%
52-53°F
$1,354 Hac.
1%
54-55°F
$770 Hac.
<1%
56-57°F
$960 Hac.
1%
58-59°F
$695 Hac.
1%
60-61°F
$490 Hac.
3%
62-63°F
$441 Hac.
3%
64-65°F
$340 Hac.
10%
66-67°F
$297 Hac.
28%
68°F or higher
$346 Hac.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA project San Francisco's highest temperature on April 18 at around 68°F, driving trader consensus to 57.5% implied probability for 68°F or higher amid a building upper-level ridge offshore that weakens the persistent marine layer and promotes northerly winds for enhanced daytime heating. Recent observations show below-normal highs, such as 61°F at SFO on April 14 versus a climatological April average of 64–66°F, but the past 24 hours' model runs—GFS and ECMWF ensembles—indicate amplifying geopotential heights and reduced stratocumulus cloud cover, shifting odds upward from cooler bins like 66–67°F at 28.5%. Uncertainty lingers from potential coastal fog resurgence; watch evening forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Hacim
$7,523Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA project San Francisco's highest temperature on April 18 at around 68°F, driving trader consensus to 57.5% implied probability for 68°F or higher amid a building upper-level ridge offshore that weakens the persistent marine layer and promotes northerly winds for enhanced daytime heating. Recent observations show below-normal highs, such as 61°F at SFO on April 14 versus a climatological April average of 64–66°F, but the past 24 hours' model runs—GFS and ECMWF ensembles—indicate amplifying geopotential heights and reduced stratocumulus cloud cover, shifting odds upward from cooler bins like 66–67°F at 28.5%. Uncertainty lingers from potential coastal fog resurgence; watch evening forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$7,523Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA project San Francisco's highest temperature on April 18 at around 68°F, driving trader consensus to 57.5% implied probability for 68°F or higher amid a building upper-level ridge offshore that weakens the persistent marine layer and promotes northerly winds for enhanced daytime heating. Recent observations show below-normal highs, such as 61°F at SFO on April 14 versus a climatological April average of 64–66°F, but the past 24 hours' model runs—GFS and ECMWF ensembles—indicate amplifying geopotential heights and reduced stratocumulus cloud cover, shifting odds upward from cooler bins like 66–67°F at 28.5%. Uncertainty lingers from potential coastal fog resurgence; watch evening forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular