National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official station for such measurements, recorded peak temperatures of around 80°F during mid-afternoon on April 15, driving the 99.7% market-implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome as traders locked in based on real-time METAR data. Breezy east winds of 13-16 mph from a lingering weak frontal boundary suppressed daytime heating, aligning with NOAA short-range model consensus that forecasted highs near 81°F under partly cloudy skies and high pressure influence—below the climatological April average of 82°F. Historical analogs from similar setups confirm limited upside potential. Final daily climatological report from the Miami NWS office could include minor adjustments from quality control, but current ASOS readings leave virtually no realistic path to higher bins.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMiami'deki en yüksek sıcaklık 15 Nisan'da mı?
Miami'deki en yüksek sıcaklık 15 Nisan'da mı?
80-81°F 99.8%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$89,388 Hac.
$89,388 Hac.
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 99.8%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$89,388 Hac.
$89,388 Hac.
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official station for such measurements, recorded peak temperatures of around 80°F during mid-afternoon on April 15, driving the 99.7% market-implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome as traders locked in based on real-time METAR data. Breezy east winds of 13-16 mph from a lingering weak frontal boundary suppressed daytime heating, aligning with NOAA short-range model consensus that forecasted highs near 81°F under partly cloudy skies and high pressure influence—below the climatological April average of 82°F. Historical analogs from similar setups confirm limited upside potential. Final daily climatological report from the Miami NWS office could include minor adjustments from quality control, but current ASOS readings leave virtually no realistic path to higher bins.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
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