Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature in Paris on April 15, 2026, at nearly 100% implied probability, driven by preliminary observations from the official Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG) station via Wunderground historical data—the market's resolution source. Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, warmer than the April climatological average of 16°C but restrained by persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses from the north, per Météo-France regional summaries. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the low 20s. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions uncovering a 23°C reading during quality control, though airport stations offer high reliability; final Wunderground data expected within 24 hours will solidify resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi15 Nisan'da Paris'te en yüksek sıcaklık?
15 Nisan'da Paris'te en yüksek sıcaklık?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
18°C <1%
14°C veya altında <1%
$590,527 Hac.
$590,527 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
14°C veya altında
Hayır
15°C
Hayır
16°C
Hayır
17°C
Hayır
18°C
Hayır
19°C
Hayır
20°C
Hayır
21°C
Hayır
22°C
Evet
23°C
Hayır
24°C veya daha yüksek
Hayır
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
18°C <1%
14°C veya altında <1%
$590,527 Hac.
$590,527 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
14°C veya altında
$7,609 Hac.
Hayır
15°C
$6,925 Hac.
Hayır
16°C
$24,757 Hac.
Hayır
17°C
$23,873 Hac.
Hayır
18°C
$228,419 Hac.
Hayır
19°C
$110,885 Hac.
Hayır
20°C
$24,917 Hac.
Hayır
21°C
$21,783 Hac.
Hayır
22°C
$100,872 Hac.
Evet
23°C
$21,740 Hac.
Hayır
24°C veya daha yüksek
$18,748 Hac.
Hayır
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature in Paris on April 15, 2026, at nearly 100% implied probability, driven by preliminary observations from the official Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG) station via Wunderground historical data—the market's resolution source. Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, warmer than the April climatological average of 16°C but restrained by persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses from the north, per Météo-France regional summaries. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the low 20s. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions uncovering a 23°C reading during quality control, though airport stations offer high reliability; final Wunderground data expected within 24 hours will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Hacim
$590,527Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: Hayır
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Hayır
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature in Paris on April 15, 2026, at nearly 100% implied probability, driven by preliminary observations from the official Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG) station via Wunderground historical data—the market's resolution source. Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, warmer than the April climatological average of 16°C but restrained by persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses from the north, per Météo-France regional summaries. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the low 20s. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions uncovering a 23°C reading during quality control, though airport stations offer high reliability; final Wunderground data expected within 24 hours will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$590,527Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: Hayır
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Hayır
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature in Paris on April 15, 2026, at nearly 100% implied probability, driven by preliminary observations from the official Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG) station via Wunderground historical data—the market's resolution source. Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, warmer than the April climatological average of 16°C but restrained by persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses from the north, per Météo-France regional summaries. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the low 20s. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions uncovering a 23°C reading during quality control, though airport stations offer high reliability; final Wunderground data expected within 24 hours will solidify resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular