Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service (NWS) Fort Worth/Dallas forecasts and global model ensembles for Dallas's highest temperature on April 18, with closely bunched implied probabilities around 70-81°F driven by divergent cloud cover and shower timing scenarios. Latest NWS guidance indicates mostly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of afternoon thunderstorms from lingering upper-level troughing over the Plains, potentially suppressing peak heating to 70-71°F, while warmer GFS and ECMWF ensemble members project southerly winds and partial clearing yielding 78-81°F. Early April's above-normal temperatures (highs 74-86°F) and NOAA's spring outlook for persistent warmth contrast with this system's instability, heightening disagreement. Afternoon NWS updates and evening model runs will clarify landfall of any precip near the metro area.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
76-77°F 24%
78-79°F 24%
72-73°F 20%
80-81°F 18%
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 24%
78-79°F 24%
72-73°F 20%
80-81°F 18%
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service (NWS) Fort Worth/Dallas forecasts and global model ensembles for Dallas's highest temperature on April 18, with closely bunched implied probabilities around 70-81°F driven by divergent cloud cover and shower timing scenarios. Latest NWS guidance indicates mostly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of afternoon thunderstorms from lingering upper-level troughing over the Plains, potentially suppressing peak heating to 70-71°F, while warmer GFS and ECMWF ensemble members project southerly winds and partial clearing yielding 78-81°F. Early April's above-normal temperatures (highs 74-86°F) and NOAA's spring outlook for persistent warmth contrast with this system's instability, heightening disagreement. Afternoon NWS updates and evening model runs will clarify landfall of any precip near the metro area.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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