Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on April 18, with 98.9% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), projecting maxima of 28-30°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over the Valley of Mexico. These projections align with numerical weather prediction models showing minimal cloud cover and warm advection from surrounding regions, consistent with April climatology where average highs reach 26-27°C and exceed 26°C on over 80% of days historically. Recent observational data from Tacubaya Observatory confirm steady warming trends this week, with no incoming fronts indicated. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in humidity or afternoon showers reducing insolation, though SMN updates through resolution—based on official airport or observatory readings—show negligible risk as of April 17.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMexico City'deki en yüksek sıcaklık 18 Nisan'da mı?
Mexico City'deki en yüksek sıcaklık 18 Nisan'da mı?
26°C veya daha yüksek 98.9%
25°C 1.1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
YENİ
$14,996 Hac.
YENİ
$14,996 Hac.
18 Nis 2026
16°C veya altı
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C veya daha yüksek
99%
26°C veya daha yüksek 98.9%
25°C 1.1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
YENİ
$14,996 Hac.
YENİ
$14,996 Hac.
18 Nis 2026
16°C veya altı
$809 Hac.
<1%
17°C
$565 Hac.
<1%
18°C
$647 Hac.
<1%
19°C
$681 Hac.
<1%
20°C
$1,019 Hac.
<1%
21°C
$2,069 Hac.
<1%
22°C
$1,546 Hac.
<1%
23°C
$826 Hac.
<1%
24°C
$2,218 Hac.
<1%
25°C
$1,912 Hac.
1%
26°C veya daha yüksek
$2,704 Hac.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on April 18, with 98.9% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), projecting maxima of 28-30°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over the Valley of Mexico. These projections align with numerical weather prediction models showing minimal cloud cover and warm advection from surrounding regions, consistent with April climatology where average highs reach 26-27°C and exceed 26°C on over 80% of days historically. Recent observational data from Tacubaya Observatory confirm steady warming trends this week, with no incoming fronts indicated. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in humidity or afternoon showers reducing insolation, though SMN updates through resolution—based on official airport or observatory readings—show negligible risk as of April 17.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 1:53 AM ET
Hacim
$14,996Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:53 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on April 18, with 98.9% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), projecting maxima of 28-30°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over the Valley of Mexico. These projections align with numerical weather prediction models showing minimal cloud cover and warm advection from surrounding regions, consistent with April climatology where average highs reach 26-27°C and exceed 26°C on over 80% of days historically. Recent observational data from Tacubaya Observatory confirm steady warming trends this week, with no incoming fronts indicated. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in humidity or afternoon showers reducing insolation, though SMN updates through resolution—based on official airport or observatory readings—show negligible risk as of April 17.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$14,996Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:53 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on April 18, with 98.9% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), projecting maxima of 28-30°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over the Valley of Mexico. These projections align with numerical weather prediction models showing minimal cloud cover and warm advection from surrounding regions, consistent with April climatology where average highs reach 26-27°C and exceed 26°C on over 80% of days historically. Recent observational data from Tacubaya Observatory confirm steady warming trends this week, with no incoming fronts indicated. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in humidity or afternoon showers reducing insolation, though SMN updates through resolution—based on official airport or observatory readings—show negligible risk as of April 17.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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