Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 8–10°C highs for Moscow on April 18, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs showing a passing cold front ushering northerly flow, overcast skies, and potential light rain or sleet capping daytime heating near mid-April climatological norms of about 10°C. Recent developments include a warm spell peaking near 17°C on April 16–17 amid spring thunderstorms, now yielding to cooler upper-air patterns and jet stream divergence that model ensembles disagree on—ECMWF leaning toward 8°C with steadier precip, GFS slightly warmer at 9–10°C under partial clearing. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists in frontal timing and cloud cover thickness, with resolution based on official observations at Vnukovo Airport; watch afternoon updates from Russian Hydrometcenter for shifts before tomorrow's diurnal maximum.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
9°C 34%
10°C 25%
8°C 22%
7°C 12%
YENİ
$13,157 Hac.
YENİ
$13,157 Hac.
18 Nis 2026
6°C or below
2%
7°C
12%
8°C
22%
9°C
34%
10°C
25%
11°C
10%
12°C
3%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 34%
10°C 25%
8°C 22%
7°C 12%
YENİ
$13,157 Hac.
YENİ
$13,157 Hac.
18 Nis 2026
6°C or below
$1,025 Hac.
2%
7°C
$883 Hac.
12%
8°C
$309 Hac.
22%
9°C
$567 Hac.
34%
10°C
$578 Hac.
25%
11°C
$1,365 Hac.
10%
12°C
$2,458 Hac.
3%
13°C
$2,343 Hac.
1%
14°C
$1,498 Hac.
1%
15°C
$1,160 Hac.
1%
16°C or higher
$1,014 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 8–10°C highs for Moscow on April 18, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs showing a passing cold front ushering northerly flow, overcast skies, and potential light rain or sleet capping daytime heating near mid-April climatological norms of about 10°C. Recent developments include a warm spell peaking near 17°C on April 16–17 amid spring thunderstorms, now yielding to cooler upper-air patterns and jet stream divergence that model ensembles disagree on—ECMWF leaning toward 8°C with steadier precip, GFS slightly warmer at 9–10°C under partial clearing. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists in frontal timing and cloud cover thickness, with resolution based on official observations at Vnukovo Airport; watch afternoon updates from Russian Hydrometcenter for shifts before tomorrow's diurnal maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
Hacim
$13,157Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 8–10°C highs for Moscow on April 18, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs showing a passing cold front ushering northerly flow, overcast skies, and potential light rain or sleet capping daytime heating near mid-April climatological norms of about 10°C. Recent developments include a warm spell peaking near 17°C on April 16–17 amid spring thunderstorms, now yielding to cooler upper-air patterns and jet stream divergence that model ensembles disagree on—ECMWF leaning toward 8°C with steadier precip, GFS slightly warmer at 9–10°C under partial clearing. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists in frontal timing and cloud cover thickness, with resolution based on official observations at Vnukovo Airport; watch afternoon updates from Russian Hydrometcenter for shifts before tomorrow's diurnal maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$13,157Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 8–10°C highs for Moscow on April 18, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs showing a passing cold front ushering northerly flow, overcast skies, and potential light rain or sleet capping daytime heating near mid-April climatological norms of about 10°C. Recent developments include a warm spell peaking near 17°C on April 16–17 amid spring thunderstorms, now yielding to cooler upper-air patterns and jet stream divergence that model ensembles disagree on—ECMWF leaning toward 8°C with steadier precip, GFS slightly warmer at 9–10°C under partial clearing. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists in frontal timing and cloud cover thickness, with resolution based on official observations at Vnukovo Airport; watch afternoon updates from Russian Hydrometcenter for shifts before tomorrow's diurnal maximum.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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