Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 16, projects a 23°C high in Tokyo on April 18 under cloudy conditions with sunny intervals and just 10% precipitation risk, following today's observed warm 25°C peak and tomorrow's expected 21°C. Yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 21°C (32.5% implied probability), 20°C (26.5%), and 22°C (20.5%), highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty from varying model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which diverge by 1-3°C due to cloud cover extent and high-pressure ridge strength. Mid-April climatology averages near 20°C, but this year's warmer spring—driven by persistent highs—supports upside potential; watch JMA's next update for refinements ahead of resolution at Tokyo's official station.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 18?
21°C 32%
20°C 29%
22°C 16%
19°C 14%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
14%
20°C
29%
21°C
32%
22°C
16%
23°C or higher
7%
21°C 32%
20°C 29%
22°C 16%
19°C 14%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
13°C or below
$1,220 Hac.
<1%
14°C
$973 Hac.
<1%
15°C
$903 Hac.
<1%
16°C
$335 Hac.
1%
17°C
$179 Hac.
2%
18°C
$394 Hac.
4%
19°C
$292 Hac.
14%
20°C
$262 Hac.
29%
21°C
$257 Hac.
32%
22°C
$253 Hac.
16%
23°C or higher
$450 Hac.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 16, projects a 23°C high in Tokyo on April 18 under cloudy conditions with sunny intervals and just 10% precipitation risk, following today's observed warm 25°C peak and tomorrow's expected 21°C. Yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 21°C (32.5% implied probability), 20°C (26.5%), and 22°C (20.5%), highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty from varying model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which diverge by 1-3°C due to cloud cover extent and high-pressure ridge strength. Mid-April climatology averages near 20°C, but this year's warmer spring—driven by persistent highs—supports upside potential; watch JMA's next update for refinements ahead of resolution at Tokyo's official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Hacim
$5,517Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 16, projects a 23°C high in Tokyo on April 18 under cloudy conditions with sunny intervals and just 10% precipitation risk, following today's observed warm 25°C peak and tomorrow's expected 21°C. Yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 21°C (32.5% implied probability), 20°C (26.5%), and 22°C (20.5%), highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty from varying model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which diverge by 1-3°C due to cloud cover extent and high-pressure ridge strength. Mid-April climatology averages near 20°C, but this year's warmer spring—driven by persistent highs—supports upside potential; watch JMA's next update for refinements ahead of resolution at Tokyo's official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$5,517Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 16, projects a 23°C high in Tokyo on April 18 under cloudy conditions with sunny intervals and just 10% precipitation risk, following today's observed warm 25°C peak and tomorrow's expected 21°C. Yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 21°C (32.5% implied probability), 20°C (26.5%), and 22°C (20.5%), highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty from varying model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which diverge by 1-3°C due to cloud cover extent and high-pressure ridge strength. Mid-April climatology averages near 20°C, but this year's warmer spring—driven by persistent highs—supports upside potential; watch JMA's next update for refinements ahead of resolution at Tokyo's official station.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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