Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAnkara'da en yüksek sıcaklık 16 Nisan'da mı?
Ankara'da en yüksek sıcaklık 16 Nisan'da mı?
21°C 100.0%
14°C veya altında <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,217 Hac.
$102,217 Hac.
14°C veya altında
Hayır
15°C
Hayır
16°C
Hayır
17°C
Hayır
18°C
Hayır
19°C
Hayır
20°C
Hayır
21°C
Evet
22°C
Hayır
23°C
Hayır
24°C veya daha yüksek
Hayır
21°C 100.0%
14°C veya altında <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,217 Hac.
$102,217 Hac.
14°C veya altında
Hayır
15°C
Hayır
16°C
Hayır
17°C
Hayır
18°C
Hayır
19°C
Hayır
20°C
Hayır
21°C
Evet
22°C
Hayır
23°C
Hayır
24°C veya daha yüksek
Hayır
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: Hayır
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Hayır
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: Hayır
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Hayır
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
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