Observed precipitation data from London stations, including NW3 and Heathrow (station 03772), show just 1.4–3 mm total rainfall through April 15–16, 2026—less than 7% of the 42 mm climatological average for the month—driving the market-implied 63.3% probability for under 20 mm. Following a wet winter, persistent high pressure has delivered dry, bright conditions and above-normal temperatures (+1.5°C departure), as confirmed by Met Office monitoring. Forecast model consensus from recent outlooks indicates low precipitation chances through month's end, with minimal shower risks, though jet stream shifts could introduce uncertainty. Traders await daily updates and late-April ensemble guidance for potential adjustments.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiPrecipitation in London in April?
Precipitation in London in April?
<20mm 58.6%
40-50mm 16.4%
30-40mm 10%
20-30mm 7.2%
YENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2026
<20mm
67%
20-30mm
7%
30-40mm
10%
40-50mm
16%
50-60mm
3%
60-70mm
2%
70mm+
3%
<20mm 58.6%
40-50mm 16.4%
30-40mm 10%
20-30mm 7.2%
YENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2026
<20mm
$2,237 Hac.
67%
20-30mm
$662 Hac.
7%
30-40mm
$1,108 Hac.
10%
40-50mm
$887 Hac.
16%
50-60mm
$1,841 Hac.
3%
60-70mm
$798 Hac.
2%
70mm+
$1,126 Hac.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed precipitation data from London stations, including NW3 and Heathrow (station 03772), show just 1.4–3 mm total rainfall through April 15–16, 2026—less than 7% of the 42 mm climatological average for the month—driving the market-implied 63.3% probability for under 20 mm. Following a wet winter, persistent high pressure has delivered dry, bright conditions and above-normal temperatures (+1.5°C departure), as confirmed by Met Office monitoring. Forecast model consensus from recent outlooks indicates low precipitation chances through month's end, with minimal shower risks, though jet stream shifts could introduce uncertainty. Traders await daily updates and late-April ensemble guidance for potential adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Hacim
$8,661Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed precipitation data from London stations, including NW3 and Heathrow (station 03772), show just 1.4–3 mm total rainfall through April 15–16, 2026—less than 7% of the 42 mm climatological average for the month—driving the market-implied 63.3% probability for under 20 mm. Following a wet winter, persistent high pressure has delivered dry, bright conditions and above-normal temperatures (+1.5°C departure), as confirmed by Met Office monitoring. Forecast model consensus from recent outlooks indicates low precipitation chances through month's end, with minimal shower risks, though jet stream shifts could introduce uncertainty. Traders await daily updates and late-April ensemble guidance for potential adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$8,661Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Observed precipitation data from London stations, including NW3 and Heathrow (station 03772), show just 1.4–3 mm total rainfall through April 15–16, 2026—less than 7% of the 42 mm climatological average for the month—driving the market-implied 63.3% probability for under 20 mm. Following a wet winter, persistent high pressure has delivered dry, bright conditions and above-normal temperatures (+1.5°C departure), as confirmed by Met Office monitoring. Forecast model consensus from recent outlooks indicates low precipitation chances through month's end, with minimal shower risks, though jet stream shifts could introduce uncertainty. Traders await daily updates and late-April ensemble guidance for potential adjustments.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular