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Dünya·Genel Fiyatlar

Avustralya Merkez Bankası'nın Mayıs Ayındaki Kararı?

Market icon
Dünya·Genel Fiyatlar

Avustralya Merkez Bankası'nın Mayıs Ayındaki Kararı?

May 5

Haz 16

May 5

Haz 16

Artış 61%

Değişiklik Yok 37%

Azalt <1%

Polymarket

$28,642 Hac.

Artış 61%

Değişiklik Yok 37%

Azalt <1%

Polymarket

$28,642 Hac.

Azalt

$8,273 Hac.

1%

Değişiklik Yok

$4,016 Hac.

35%

Artış

$16,352 Hac.

61%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 61% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate increase at the May 5, 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market following back-to-back 25-basis-point hikes to 4.10% in February and March. February 2026 CPI rose 3.7% year-over-year, with underlying measures remaining sticky above the 2–3% target band amid energy cost shocks, while March employment data showed unemployment steady at 4.3% and jobs growth to 14.77 million. No-change odds at 34.5% capture potential softening in upcoming March CPI and April labor figures, with cuts at 0.5% dismissed amid tight capacity constraints. ASX rate futures align closely, signaling trader consensus for further monetary tightening.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Hacim
$28,642
Bitiş Tarihi
5 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 3, 2026, 10:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 61% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate increase at the May 5, 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market following back-to-back 25-basis-point hikes to 4.10% in February and March. February 2026 CPI rose 3.7% year-over-year, with underlying measures remaining sticky above the 2–3% target band amid energy cost shocks, while March employment data showed unemployment steady at 4.3% and jobs growth to 14.77 million. No-change odds at 34.5% capture potential softening in upcoming March CPI and April labor figures, with cuts at 0.5% dismissed amid tight capacity constraints. ASX rate futures align closely, signaling trader consensus for further monetary tightening.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Hacim
$28,642
Bitiş Tarihi
5 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 3, 2026, 10:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Avustralya Merkez Bankası'nın Mayıs Ayındaki Kararı?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 3 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 61% ile "Artış", ardından 35% ile "Değişiklik Yok" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 61¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 61% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Avustralya Merkez Bankası'nın Mayıs Ayındaki Kararı?" toplam $28.6K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Feb 3, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Avustralya Merkez Bankası'nın Mayıs Ayındaki Kararı?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 3 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Avustralya Merkez Bankası'nın Mayıs Ayındaki Kararı?" için mevcut favori 61% ile "Artış"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 61% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 35% ile "Değişiklik Yok"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Avustralya Merkez Bankası'nın Mayıs Ayındaki Kararı?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.