Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53.5% implied probability for a Reserve Bank of Australia rate increase at the June 15-16 meeting, reflecting back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in February and March that lifted the cash rate target to 4.10% amid sticky headline inflation holding at 3.7% through February 2026 and a resilient labor market evidenced by March unemployment steady at 4.3% alongside rising employment. No change at 33% captures modest CPI softening and steady trimmed mean core inflation near 3.3%, while a decrease remains a distant 3.9% prospect given absent recession signals. Watch the May 4-5 decision and impending April CPI for shifts in policy expectations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiArtış 56%
Değişiklik Yok 27%
Düşüş 3.9%
$18,750 Hac.
$18,750 Hac.
16 Haz 2026
Düşüş
4%
Değişiklik Yok
27%
Artış
56%
Artış 56%
Değişiklik Yok 27%
Düşüş 3.9%
$18,750 Hac.
$18,750 Hac.
16 Haz 2026
Düşüş
$6,043 Hac.
4%
Değişiklik Yok
$6,255 Hac.
27%
Artış
$6,452 Hac.
56%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53.5% implied probability for a Reserve Bank of Australia rate increase at the June 15-16 meeting, reflecting back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in February and March that lifted the cash rate target to 4.10% amid sticky headline inflation holding at 3.7% through February 2026 and a resilient labor market evidenced by March unemployment steady at 4.3% alongside rising employment. No change at 33% captures modest CPI softening and steady trimmed mean core inflation near 3.3%, while a decrease remains a distant 3.9% prospect given absent recession signals. Watch the May 4-5 decision and impending April CPI for shifts in policy expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Hacim
$18,750Bitiş Tarihi
16 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53.5% implied probability for a Reserve Bank of Australia rate increase at the June 15-16 meeting, reflecting back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in February and March that lifted the cash rate target to 4.10% amid sticky headline inflation holding at 3.7% through February 2026 and a resilient labor market evidenced by March unemployment steady at 4.3% alongside rising employment. No change at 33% captures modest CPI softening and steady trimmed mean core inflation near 3.3%, while a decrease remains a distant 3.9% prospect given absent recession signals. Watch the May 4-5 decision and impending April CPI for shifts in policy expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Hacim
$18,750Bitiş Tarihi
16 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53.5% implied probability for a Reserve Bank of Australia rate increase at the June 15-16 meeting, reflecting back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in February and March that lifted the cash rate target to 4.10% amid sticky headline inflation holding at 3.7% through February 2026 and a resilient labor market evidenced by March unemployment steady at 4.3% alongside rising employment. No change at 33% captures modest CPI softening and steady trimmed mean core inflation near 3.3%, while a decrease remains a distant 3.9% prospect given absent recession signals. Watch the May 4-5 decision and impending April CPI for shifts in policy expectations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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