Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target rate at the May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a split Governing Board vote and accelerating headline inflation to 4.59% year-over-year in March—the highest since August 2024. Elevated price pressures above the 3% target midpoint, coupled with Governor Rodríguez's March 30 signal that the easing cycle is nearing completion, anchor the no-change lead, while a 22% cut odds stems from dovish minutes highlighting economic weakness and potential for further moderation. A rate hike at 0.6% faces negligible support absent sharper inflation spikes; upcoming April CPI data will be pivotal.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMeksika Merkez Bankası'nın Mayıs Ayındaki Kararı
Meksika Merkez Bankası'nın Mayıs Ayındaki Kararı
Değişiklik yok 75%
İndirim 22%
Artış <1%
$54,044 Hac.
$54,044 Hac.
7 May 2026
İndirim
22%
Değişiklik yok
75%
Artış
1%
Değişiklik yok 75%
İndirim 22%
Artış <1%
$54,044 Hac.
$54,044 Hac.
7 May 2026
İndirim
$18,154 Hac.
22%
Değişiklik yok
$15,835 Hac.
75%
Artış
$20,134 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target rate at the May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a split Governing Board vote and accelerating headline inflation to 4.59% year-over-year in March—the highest since August 2024. Elevated price pressures above the 3% target midpoint, coupled with Governor Rodríguez's March 30 signal that the easing cycle is nearing completion, anchor the no-change lead, while a 22% cut odds stems from dovish minutes highlighting economic weakness and potential for further moderation. A rate hike at 0.6% faces negligible support absent sharper inflation spikes; upcoming April CPI data will be pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
Hacim
$54,044Bitiş Tarihi
7 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target rate at the May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a split Governing Board vote and accelerating headline inflation to 4.59% year-over-year in March—the highest since August 2024. Elevated price pressures above the 3% target midpoint, coupled with Governor Rodríguez's March 30 signal that the easing cycle is nearing completion, anchor the no-change lead, while a 22% cut odds stems from dovish minutes highlighting economic weakness and potential for further moderation. A rate hike at 0.6% faces negligible support absent sharper inflation spikes; upcoming April CPI data will be pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$54,044Bitiş Tarihi
7 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target rate at the May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a split Governing Board vote and accelerating headline inflation to 4.59% year-over-year in March—the highest since August 2024. Elevated price pressures above the 3% target midpoint, coupled with Governor Rodríguez's March 30 signal that the easing cycle is nearing completion, anchor the no-change lead, while a 22% cut odds stems from dovish minutes highlighting economic weakness and potential for further moderation. A rate hike at 0.6% faces negligible support absent sharper inflation spikes; upcoming April CPI data will be pivotal.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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