WTI crude oil futures have surged above $100 per barrel in recent sessions amid escalating Middle East tensions, including a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following the collapse of U.S.-Iran talks, before easing to around $92 per barrel as of April 16. The latest EIA report revealed a 0.9 million barrel inventory draw for the week ended April 10—contrary to expectations—bolstering near-term tightness despite prior builds. The forward curve's backwardation signals trader consensus on short-lived supply disruptions from ~20% of global flows via Hormuz, with balanced fundamentals expected later. Upcoming weekly EIA releases and the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting loom as pivotal catalysts shaping probabilities through June 30 resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHam Petrol (CL) Haziran sonuna kadar __ vuracak mı?
Ham Petrol (CL) Haziran sonuna kadar __ vuracak mı?
$10,187,553 Hac.
↑ $200
6%
↑ 175 $
7%
↑ 150$
13%
↑ $140
17%
↑ $130
22%
↑ $120
30%
↑ $115
39%
↓ $85
87%
↓ 80$
71%
↓ $70
33%
↓ $60
12%
↓ $55
7%
↓ $52
5%
↓ $50
3%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $35
2%
$10,187,553 Hac.
↑ $200
6%
↑ 175 $
7%
↑ 150$
13%
↑ $140
17%
↑ $130
22%
↑ $120
30%
↑ $115
39%
↓ $85
87%
↓ 80$
71%
↓ $70
33%
↓ $60
12%
↓ $55
7%
↓ $52
5%
↓ $50
3%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures have surged above $100 per barrel in recent sessions amid escalating Middle East tensions, including a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following the collapse of U.S.-Iran talks, before easing to around $92 per barrel as of April 16. The latest EIA report revealed a 0.9 million barrel inventory draw for the week ended April 10—contrary to expectations—bolstering near-term tightness despite prior builds. The forward curve's backwardation signals trader consensus on short-lived supply disruptions from ~20% of global flows via Hormuz, with balanced fundamentals expected later. Upcoming weekly EIA releases and the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting loom as pivotal catalysts shaping probabilities through June 30 resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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