ECB Governing Council officials are leaning toward maintaining key interest rates unchanged at the April 29-30 monetary policy meeting, reflecting trader consensus at 97.5% for no change amid stable inflation near the 2% target following March's uptick to 2.5% driven by an oil shock. The March decision held the deposit facility rate steady at around 2%, with policymakers postponing assessment of second-round inflation effects and fallout from the recent Iran war ceasefire. This higher-for-longer stance aligns with eurozone data showing persistent underlying pressures without urgent adjustment signals. Potential challenges include hotter-than-expected April inflation prints, renewed Middle East tensions spiking energy costs, or sharper economic slowdown prompting a cut, though these remain low-probability scenarios per market pricing.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiECB Faiz Oranları: Nisan 2026
ECB Faiz Oranları: Nisan 2026
Değişiklik yok 97.5%
Artış 2.5%
50+ baz puanlık indirim <1%
25 baz puanlık indirim <1%
$619,393 Hac.
$619,393 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
50+ baz puanlık indirim
<1%
25 baz puanlık indirim
<1%
Değişiklik yok
98%
Artış
2%
Değişiklik yok 97.5%
Artış 2.5%
50+ baz puanlık indirim <1%
25 baz puanlık indirim <1%
$619,393 Hac.
$619,393 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
50+ baz puanlık indirim
$103,120 Hac.
<1%
25 baz puanlık indirim
$96,202 Hac.
<1%
Değişiklik yok
$199,420 Hac.
98%
Artış
$220,652 Hac.
2%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.ECB Governing Council officials are leaning toward maintaining key interest rates unchanged at the April 29-30 monetary policy meeting, reflecting trader consensus at 97.5% for no change amid stable inflation near the 2% target following March's uptick to 2.5% driven by an oil shock. The March decision held the deposit facility rate steady at around 2%, with policymakers postponing assessment of second-round inflation effects and fallout from the recent Iran war ceasefire. This higher-for-longer stance aligns with eurozone data showing persistent underlying pressures without urgent adjustment signals. Potential challenges include hotter-than-expected April inflation prints, renewed Middle East tensions spiking energy costs, or sharper economic slowdown prompting a cut, though these remain low-probability scenarios per market pricing.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Hacim
$619,393Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.ECB Governing Council officials are leaning toward maintaining key interest rates unchanged at the April 29-30 monetary policy meeting, reflecting trader consensus at 97.5% for no change amid stable inflation near the 2% target following March's uptick to 2.5% driven by an oil shock. The March decision held the deposit facility rate steady at around 2%, with policymakers postponing assessment of second-round inflation effects and fallout from the recent Iran war ceasefire. This higher-for-longer stance aligns with eurozone data showing persistent underlying pressures without urgent adjustment signals. Potential challenges include hotter-than-expected April inflation prints, renewed Middle East tensions spiking energy costs, or sharper economic slowdown prompting a cut, though these remain low-probability scenarios per market pricing.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Hacim
$619,393Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...ECB Governing Council officials are leaning toward maintaining key interest rates unchanged at the April 29-30 monetary policy meeting, reflecting trader consensus at 97.5% for no change amid stable inflation near the 2% target following March's uptick to 2.5% driven by an oil shock. The March decision held the deposit facility rate steady at around 2%, with policymakers postponing assessment of second-round inflation effects and fallout from the recent Iran war ceasefire. This higher-for-longer stance aligns with eurozone data showing persistent underlying pressures without urgent adjustment signals. Potential challenges include hotter-than-expected April inflation prints, renewed Middle East tensions spiking energy costs, or sharper economic slowdown prompting a cut, though these remain low-probability scenarios per market pricing.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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