Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no change in ECB key interest rates at the April 30, 2026, Governing Council meeting, reflecting the March 19 decision to hold the deposit facility steady at 2% amid a broadly stabilizing inflation outlook near the 2% target. February HICP inflation confirmed at 1.9%, though March flash data ticked up to 2.5% on energy cost pressures from Middle East tensions, including Iran-related fallout. ECB President Lagarde's April 14 remarks noted the eurozone economy straddling baseline and adverse scenarios without committing to hikes, while staff projections foresee subdued 0.9% GDP growth in 2026. This commanding position could shift on sustained inflation surges, sharper geopolitical escalation, or unexpectedly weak economic indicators before the announcement.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiECB Faiz Oranları: Nisan 2026
ECB Faiz Oranları: Nisan 2026
Değişiklik yok 96.2%
Artış 3.1%
25 baz puanlık indirim <1%
50+ baz puanlık indirim <1%
$606,234 Hac.
$606,234 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
50+ baz puanlık indirim
<1%
25 baz puanlık indirim
<1%
Değişiklik yok
96%
Artış
3%
Değişiklik yok 96.2%
Artış 3.1%
25 baz puanlık indirim <1%
50+ baz puanlık indirim <1%
$606,234 Hac.
$606,234 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
50+ baz puanlık indirim
$102,935 Hac.
<1%
25 baz puanlık indirim
$96,017 Hac.
<1%
Değişiklik yok
$196,855 Hac.
96%
Artış
$210,510 Hac.
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no change in ECB key interest rates at the April 30, 2026, Governing Council meeting, reflecting the March 19 decision to hold the deposit facility steady at 2% amid a broadly stabilizing inflation outlook near the 2% target. February HICP inflation confirmed at 1.9%, though March flash data ticked up to 2.5% on energy cost pressures from Middle East tensions, including Iran-related fallout. ECB President Lagarde's April 14 remarks noted the eurozone economy straddling baseline and adverse scenarios without committing to hikes, while staff projections foresee subdued 0.9% GDP growth in 2026. This commanding position could shift on sustained inflation surges, sharper geopolitical escalation, or unexpectedly weak economic indicators before the announcement.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Hacim
$606,234Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no change in ECB key interest rates at the April 30, 2026, Governing Council meeting, reflecting the March 19 decision to hold the deposit facility steady at 2% amid a broadly stabilizing inflation outlook near the 2% target. February HICP inflation confirmed at 1.9%, though March flash data ticked up to 2.5% on energy cost pressures from Middle East tensions, including Iran-related fallout. ECB President Lagarde's April 14 remarks noted the eurozone economy straddling baseline and adverse scenarios without committing to hikes, while staff projections foresee subdued 0.9% GDP growth in 2026. This commanding position could shift on sustained inflation surges, sharper geopolitical escalation, or unexpectedly weak economic indicators before the announcement.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Hacim
$606,234Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no change in ECB key interest rates at the April 30, 2026, Governing Council meeting, reflecting the March 19 decision to hold the deposit facility steady at 2% amid a broadly stabilizing inflation outlook near the 2% target. February HICP inflation confirmed at 1.9%, though March flash data ticked up to 2.5% on energy cost pressures from Middle East tensions, including Iran-related fallout. ECB President Lagarde's April 14 remarks noted the eurozone economy straddling baseline and adverse scenarios without committing to hikes, while staff projections foresee subdued 0.9% GDP growth in 2026. This commanding position could shift on sustained inflation surges, sharper geopolitical escalation, or unexpectedly weak economic indicators before the announcement.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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