Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 37.8% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 with their explosive entry "Liekinheitin," propelled by strong previews at Eurovision in Concert last week and chaotic, violin-fueled energy primed for televote dominance, echoing past Nordic public vote surges. France (11.4%) and Denmark (10.7%) follow closely after recent national final victories—Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund with emotive ballad "Før vi går hjem" gaining jury buzz, and France's contender building campaign momentum—while Australia, Greece, and Israel hover in single digits amid competitive field. With Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final May 16, staging rehearsals and OGAE poll leads will test this early frontrunner hierarchy.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 Eurovision Birinciliği
2026 Eurovision Birinciliği
Finlandiya 37.5%
Fransa 12.0%
Danimarka 10.5%
Avustralya 7.0%
$91,933,265 Hac.
$91,933,265 Hac.

Finlandiya
38%

Fransa
12%

Danimarka
11%

Avustralya
7%

İsrail
6%

Yunanistan
6%

İsveç
3%

İtalya
3%

Romanya
2%

Ukrayna
2%

Çekya
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgaristan
1%

Kıbrıs
1%

Moldova
1%

Hırvatistan
1%

Lüksemburg
1%

Almanya
<1%

Norveç
<1%

Litvanya
<1%

Birleşik Krallık
<1%

Avusturya
<1%

Belçika
<1%

Ermenistan
<1%

Azerbaycan
<1%

Polonya
<1%

Sırbistan
<1%

İsviçre
<1%

Arnavutluk
<1%

Estonya
<1%

Letonya
<1%

Portekiz
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Gürcistan
<1%

Karadağ
<1%
Finlandiya 37.5%
Fransa 12.0%
Danimarka 10.5%
Avustralya 7.0%
$91,933,265 Hac.
$91,933,265 Hac.

Finlandiya
38%

Fransa
12%

Danimarka
11%

Avustralya
7%

İsrail
6%

Yunanistan
6%

İsveç
3%

İtalya
3%

Romanya
2%

Ukrayna
2%

Çekya
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgaristan
1%

Kıbrıs
1%

Moldova
1%

Hırvatistan
1%

Lüksemburg
1%

Almanya
<1%

Norveç
<1%

Litvanya
<1%

Birleşik Krallık
<1%

Avusturya
<1%

Belçika
<1%

Ermenistan
<1%

Azerbaycan
<1%

Polonya
<1%

Sırbistan
<1%

İsviçre
<1%

Arnavutluk
<1%

Estonya
<1%

Letonya
<1%

Portekiz
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Gürcistan
<1%

Karadağ
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 37.8% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 with their explosive entry "Liekinheitin," propelled by strong previews at Eurovision in Concert last week and chaotic, violin-fueled energy primed for televote dominance, echoing past Nordic public vote surges. France (11.4%) and Denmark (10.7%) follow closely after recent national final victories—Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund with emotive ballad "Før vi går hjem" gaining jury buzz, and France's contender building campaign momentum—while Australia, Greece, and Israel hover in single digits amid competitive field. With Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final May 16, staging rehearsals and OGAE poll leads will test this early frontrunner hierarchy.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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