Mercedes holds a commanding 45-point lead in the Constructors' Championship after the first four Grands Prix of 2026, with 135 points from Kimi Antonelli's and George Russell's dominant 1-2 finishes and pole positions, boasting over 0.5-second qualifying gaps to rivals amid the new active aero and power unit regulations. This flawless start—winning all races and the China Sprint—has solidified trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting superior chassis pace and clean air performance unmatched since the hybrid era's outset. Ferrari trails at 90 points via Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's podiums, earning 11.0% odds as the primary challenger, while McLaren's 46 points and Red Bull's struggles (16 points, biggest deficit in a decade) position them at 8.0% and 1.4%, respectively, with the long 24-race calendar leaving room for convergence through development.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMercedes 77%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 8.0%
Red Bull Racing 1.4%
$12,237,728 Hac.
$12,237,728 Hac.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
11%

McLaren
8%

Red Bull Racing
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
Mercedes 77%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 8.0%
Red Bull Racing 1.4%
$12,237,728 Hac.
$12,237,728 Hac.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
11%

McLaren
8%

Red Bull Racing
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 45-point lead in the Constructors' Championship after the first four Grands Prix of 2026, with 135 points from Kimi Antonelli's and George Russell's dominant 1-2 finishes and pole positions, boasting over 0.5-second qualifying gaps to rivals amid the new active aero and power unit regulations. This flawless start—winning all races and the China Sprint—has solidified trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting superior chassis pace and clean air performance unmatched since the hybrid era's outset. Ferrari trails at 90 points via Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's podiums, earning 11.0% odds as the primary challenger, while McLaren's 46 points and Red Bull's struggles (16 points, biggest deficit in a decade) position them at 8.0% and 1.4%, respectively, with the long 24-race calendar leaving room for convergence through development.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
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