Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 135 points after three Grands Prix, underpins trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability, driven by victories in Australia (Russell), China, and Japan (both Antonelli) thanks to superior power unit energy management and chassis performance under new active aero and sustainable fuel regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points (11.0% odds) with consistent podiums from Leclerc, positioning them as the primary challenger amid Red Bull's struggles (16 points, 1.4% odds) due to power unit deficits and tire issues for Verstappen. McLaren's 46 points (8.0%) reflect Piastri's Japan P2 but earlier setbacks like battery problems, while the FIA's pre-Miami ban on a qualifying loophole highlights rivals' efforts to close the gap in the 21 remaining races.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMercedes 77%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 8.0%
Red Bull Racing 1.4%
$12,303,987 Hac.
$12,303,987 Hac.
6 Ara 2026
Mercedes
77%
Ferrari
11%
McLaren
8%
Red Bull Racing
1%
Aston Martin
1%
Audi
1%
Williams
1%
Cadillac
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Haas
1%
Alpine
1%
Mercedes 77%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 8.0%
Red Bull Racing 1.4%
$12,303,987 Hac.
$12,303,987 Hac.
6 Ara 2026
Mercedes
$538,799 Hac.
77%
Ferrari
$274,028 Hac.
11%
McLaren
$1,325,812 Hac.
8%
Red Bull Racing
$444,660 Hac.
1%
Aston Martin
$1,457,276 Hac.
1%
Audi
$1,399,458 Hac.
1%
Williams
$1,587,706 Hac.
1%
Cadillac
$1,186,644 Hac.
1%
Racing Bulls
$1,263,094 Hac.
1%
Haas
$1,401,764 Hac.
1%
Alpine
$1,427,798 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 135 points after three Grands Prix, underpins trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability, driven by victories in Australia (Russell), China, and Japan (both Antonelli) thanks to superior power unit energy management and chassis performance under new active aero and sustainable fuel regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points (11.0% odds) with consistent podiums from Leclerc, positioning them as the primary challenger amid Red Bull's struggles (16 points, 1.4% odds) due to power unit deficits and tire issues for Verstappen. McLaren's 46 points (8.0%) reflect Piastri's Japan P2 but earlier setbacks like battery problems, while the FIA's pre-Miami ban on a qualifying loophole highlights rivals' efforts to close the gap in the 21 remaining races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Hacim
$12,303,987Bitiş Tarihi
6 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 135 points after three Grands Prix, underpins trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability, driven by victories in Australia (Russell), China, and Japan (both Antonelli) thanks to superior power unit energy management and chassis performance under new active aero and sustainable fuel regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points (11.0% odds) with consistent podiums from Leclerc, positioning them as the primary challenger amid Red Bull's struggles (16 points, 1.4% odds) due to power unit deficits and tire issues for Verstappen. McLaren's 46 points (8.0%) reflect Piastri's Japan P2 but earlier setbacks like battery problems, while the FIA's pre-Miami ban on a qualifying loophole highlights rivals' efforts to close the gap in the 21 remaining races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Hacim
$12,303,987Bitiş Tarihi
6 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 135 points after three Grands Prix, underpins trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability, driven by victories in Australia (Russell), China, and Japan (both Antonelli) thanks to superior power unit energy management and chassis performance under new active aero and sustainable fuel regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points (11.0% odds) with consistent podiums from Leclerc, positioning them as the primary challenger amid Red Bull's struggles (16 points, 1.4% odds) due to power unit deficits and tire issues for Verstappen. McLaren's 46 points (8.0%) reflect Piastri's Japan P2 but earlier setbacks like battery problems, while the FIA's pre-Miami ban on a qualifying loophole highlights rivals' efforts to close the gap in the 21 remaining races.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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