Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 53.5% to win Group F, driven by their elite squad depth including Virgil van Dijk and Cody Gakpo, dominant World Cup qualifiers with high ELO offensive ratings (84.2 average), and rigorous preparation via upcoming friendlies against Spain, England, and France under Ronald Koeman—all fully fit with no major injuries reported in recent training camps. Japan holds 27.0% implied probability thanks to consistent knockout-stage advances, tactical 4-2-3-1 evolution under Hajime Moriyasu, and stars like Takefusa Kubo shining in qualifiers, positioning them as competitive challengers with upset potential akin to 2022. Sweden's March 31 playoff triumph over Poland (after beating Ukraine) secures their spot but recent friendly losses to Denmark (2-1) and Norway (1-0) cap their 13.5% share amid physical but vulnerable form. Tunisia trails at 4.2%, relying on counter-attacks and grit from Taha Yassine Khenissi, but faces steep barriers against higher-ranked foes.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHollanda 54%
Japonya 27%
ARN/POL/İSV/UKR 14%
Tunus 4.0%
$78,308 Hac.
$78,308 Hac.
Hollanda
54%
Japonya
27%
ARN/POL/İSV/UKR
14%
Tunus
4%
Hollanda 54%
Japonya 27%
ARN/POL/İSV/UKR 14%
Tunus 4.0%
$78,308 Hac.
$78,308 Hac.
Hollanda
54%
Japonya
27%
ARN/POL/İSV/UKR
14%
Tunus
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 53.5% to win Group F, driven by their elite squad depth including Virgil van Dijk and Cody Gakpo, dominant World Cup qualifiers with high ELO offensive ratings (84.2 average), and rigorous preparation via upcoming friendlies against Spain, England, and France under Ronald Koeman—all fully fit with no major injuries reported in recent training camps. Japan holds 27.0% implied probability thanks to consistent knockout-stage advances, tactical 4-2-3-1 evolution under Hajime Moriyasu, and stars like Takefusa Kubo shining in qualifiers, positioning them as competitive challengers with upset potential akin to 2022. Sweden's March 31 playoff triumph over Poland (after beating Ukraine) secures their spot but recent friendly losses to Denmark (2-1) and Norway (1-0) cap their 13.5% share amid physical but vulnerable form. Tunisia trails at 4.2%, relying on counter-attacks and grit from Taha Yassine Khenissi, but faces steep barriers against higher-ranked foes.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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