France commands a 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, fueled by their 2022 final pedigree, dominant qualifying campaign led by Kylian Mbappé's nine goals and five assists, and unmatched squad depth despite Hugo Ekitike's season-ending Achilles rupture announced April 15. Norway trails at 23.5%, buoyed by Erling Haaland's full-contact training return that day after injury concerns, positioning the 1998 returnees as potent challengers with explosive counterattacks. Senegal's 6% reflects Sadio Mané's qualifying dominance (five goals, three assists) and recent set-piece drills, while Iraq's 0.3% underscores their youthful playoff triumph as long-shot dark horses. Trader consensus anticipates top-two advancement for France and Norway amid favorable head-to-head histories and rest advantages.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiFransa 71%
Norveç 24%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRK/SUR <1%
$108,026 Hac.
$108,026 Hac.
27 Haz 2026
Fransa
71%
Norveç
24%
Senegal
6%
BOL/IRK/SUR
<1%
Fransa 71%
Norveç 24%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRK/SUR <1%
$108,026 Hac.
$108,026 Hac.
27 Haz 2026
Fransa
$42,192 Hac.
71%
Norveç
$11,338 Hac.
24%
Senegal
$13,099 Hac.
6%
BOL/IRK/SUR
$41,397 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France commands a 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, fueled by their 2022 final pedigree, dominant qualifying campaign led by Kylian Mbappé's nine goals and five assists, and unmatched squad depth despite Hugo Ekitike's season-ending Achilles rupture announced April 15. Norway trails at 23.5%, buoyed by Erling Haaland's full-contact training return that day after injury concerns, positioning the 1998 returnees as potent challengers with explosive counterattacks. Senegal's 6% reflects Sadio Mané's qualifying dominance (five goals, three assists) and recent set-piece drills, while Iraq's 0.3% underscores their youthful playoff triumph as long-shot dark horses. Trader consensus anticipates top-two advancement for France and Norway amid favorable head-to-head histories and rest advantages.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Hacim
$108,026Bitiş Tarihi
27 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France commands a 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, fueled by their 2022 final pedigree, dominant qualifying campaign led by Kylian Mbappé's nine goals and five assists, and unmatched squad depth despite Hugo Ekitike's season-ending Achilles rupture announced April 15. Norway trails at 23.5%, buoyed by Erling Haaland's full-contact training return that day after injury concerns, positioning the 1998 returnees as potent challengers with explosive counterattacks. Senegal's 6% reflects Sadio Mané's qualifying dominance (five goals, three assists) and recent set-piece drills, while Iraq's 0.3% underscores their youthful playoff triumph as long-shot dark horses. Trader consensus anticipates top-two advancement for France and Norway amid favorable head-to-head histories and rest advantages.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$108,026Bitiş Tarihi
27 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France commands a 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, fueled by their 2022 final pedigree, dominant qualifying campaign led by Kylian Mbappé's nine goals and five assists, and unmatched squad depth despite Hugo Ekitike's season-ending Achilles rupture announced April 15. Norway trails at 23.5%, buoyed by Erling Haaland's full-contact training return that day after injury concerns, positioning the 1998 returnees as potent challengers with explosive counterattacks. Senegal's 6% reflects Sadio Mané's qualifying dominance (five goals, three assists) and recent set-piece drills, while Iraq's 0.3% underscores their youthful playoff triumph as long-shot dark horses. Trader consensus anticipates top-two advancement for France and Norway amid favorable head-to-head histories and rest advantages.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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