Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85.4% implied probability to Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of April 13 above $370, reflecting the stock's sharp 7.6% surge to $391.95 on April 15 amid high volume of 113 million shares, driven by CEO Elon Musk's announcement of the completed AI5 chip design for autonomous driving advancements. This momentum built from April 14's $364.20 close, reversing earlier April weakness tied to Q1 delivery misses and inventory buildup, with pre-market trading on April 16 hovering near $397. Secondary outcomes like $350-$355 at 10.1% capture tail risks from potential profit-taking ahead of April 22 Q1 earnings, where revenue trends and robotaxi updates loom as key catalysts amid analyst targets averaging around $397.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi>$370 96.0%
$350-$355 10.1%
$355-$360 6.6%
$360-$365 1.7%
<$325
1%
$325-$330
1%
$330-$335
<1%
$335-$340
<1%
$340-$345
1%
$345-$350
<1%
$350-$355
10%
$355-$360
7%
$360-$365
2%
$365-$370
1%
>$370
85%
>$370 96.0%
$350-$355 10.1%
$355-$360 6.6%
$360-$365 1.7%
<$325
1%
$325-$330
1%
$330-$335
<1%
$335-$340
<1%
$340-$345
1%
$345-$350
<1%
$350-$355
10%
$355-$360
7%
$360-$365
2%
$365-$370
1%
>$370
85%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 10, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85.4% implied probability to Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of April 13 above $370, reflecting the stock's sharp 7.6% surge to $391.95 on April 15 amid high volume of 113 million shares, driven by CEO Elon Musk's announcement of the completed AI5 chip design for autonomous driving advancements. This momentum built from April 14's $364.20 close, reversing earlier April weakness tied to Q1 delivery misses and inventory buildup, with pre-market trading on April 16 hovering near $397. Secondary outcomes like $350-$355 at 10.1% capture tail risks from potential profit-taking ahead of April 22 Q1 earnings, where revenue trends and robotaxi updates loom as key catalysts amid analyst targets averaging around $397.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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