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U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

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U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Ara 31

Ara 31

7% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
7% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. recognition of Maria Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by December 31, driven by the Trump administration's explicit rejection of her candidacy and formal endorsement of Delcy Rodríguez—Maduro's former vice president—as interim president since a March 10 State Department letter. Following U.S. forces' January capture of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, President Trump stated Machado lacks domestic support and respect to govern, sidelining the opposition despite her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize and prior U.S. backing of proxy Edmundo González's 2024 election tallies. Recent April developments, including U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez and her extension beyond the 90-day constitutional limit, signal stabilization priorities over opposition empowerment; Machado's coordinated return plans with Washington have yet to shift this policy amid transition talks toward elections.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.

A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$2,846
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. recognition of Maria Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by December 31, driven by the Trump administration's explicit rejection of her candidacy and formal endorsement of Delcy Rodríguez—Maduro's former vice president—as interim president since a March 10 State Department letter. Following U.S. forces' January capture of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, President Trump stated Machado lacks domestic support and respect to govern, sidelining the opposition despite her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize and prior U.S. backing of proxy Edmundo González's 2024 election tallies. Recent April developments, including U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez and her extension beyond the 90-day constitutional limit, signal stabilization priorities over opposition empowerment; Machado's coordinated return plans with Washington have yet to shift this policy amid transition talks toward elections.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.

A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$2,846
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?", yatırımcıların bu olayın gerçekleşip gerçekleşmeyeceğine inançlarına göre "Evet" veya "Hayır" hisseleri alıp sattığı Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut kitle kaynaklı olasılık "Yes" için 7%'dir. Örneğin, "Evet" 7¢ fiyatındaysa, piyasa toplu olarak bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 7% olarak belirler. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Jan 31, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için cevabın "Evet" mi yoksa "Hayır" mı olacağına inandığınızı seçin. Her tarafın piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını yansıtan bir güncel fiyatı vardır. Miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. "Evet" hisseleri satın alırsanız ve sonuç "Evet" olarak çözümlenirse, her hisse 1$ öder. "Hayır" olarak çözümlenirse, "Evet" hisseleriniz 0$ öder. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" için mevcut olasılık "Yes" için 7%'dir. Bu, Polymarket topluluğunun şu anda bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 7% olarak gördüğü anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar gerçek işlemlere dayalı olarak gerçek zamanlı güncellenir ve piyasanın ne olmasını beklediğine dair sürekli güncellenen bir sinyal sağlar.

"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.