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Hangi taraflar bir sonraki Danimarka Hükümeti'nin bir parçası olacak?

Market icon

Hangi taraflar bir sonraki Danimarka Hükümeti'nin bir parçası olacak?

$85,713 Hac.

24 Mar 2026
Polymarket

$85,713 Hac.

Polymarket

Moderates

$3,584 Hac.

95%

Social Democrats

$2,123 Hac.

89%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$970 Hac.

78%

Venstre

$7,180 Hac.

65%

Green Left

$29,379 Hac.

58%

Conservative People’s Party

$142 Hac.

50%

Liberal Alliance

$6,175 Hac.

7%

Danish People’s Party

$3,013 Hac.

7%

Red–Green Alliance

$1,518 Hac.

8%

Denmark Democrats

$3,311 Hac.

5%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$11,633 Hac.

4%

Naleraq

$1,475 Hac.

4%

Union Party

$6,864 Hac.

1%

Citizens’ Party

$3,202 Hac.

1%

Inuit Ataqatigiit

$1,422 Hac.

7%

The Alternative

$3,722 Hac.

32%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's Folketing election on March 24 delivered an inconclusive result, with Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats taking 38 seats as the largest party but their red bloc totaling just 86 in the 179-seat parliament, short of a majority. Caretaker Prime Minister Frederiksen, appointed formateur by King Frederik X, leads ongoing coalition negotiations now in their fourth week, pivoting toward a broad centrist coalition potentially including right-leaning Venstre and Conservatives alongside Social Democrats and Social Liberals. Kingmaker Moderates paused center-left talks last week over policy rifts, while Denmark Democrats and Danish People's Party hold sway as outsiders. Traders weigh protracted haggling typical of Denmark's proportional representation system, with Greenland MPs demanding autonomy concessions; no timeline set for resolution.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Hacim
$85,713
Bitiş Tarihi
24 Mar 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's Folketing election on March 24 delivered an inconclusive result, with Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats taking 38 seats as the largest party but their red bloc totaling just 86 in the 179-seat parliament, short of a majority. Caretaker Prime Minister Frederiksen, appointed formateur by King Frederik X, leads ongoing coalition negotiations now in their fourth week, pivoting toward a broad centrist coalition potentially including right-leaning Venstre and Conservatives alongside Social Democrats and Social Liberals. Kingmaker Moderates paused center-left talks last week over policy rifts, while Denmark Democrats and Danish People's Party hold sway as outsiders. Traders weigh protracted haggling typical of Denmark's proportional representation system, with Greenland MPs demanding autonomy concessions; no timeline set for resolution.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Hacim
$85,713
Bitiş Tarihi
24 Mar 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Hangi taraflar bir sonraki Danimarka Hükümeti'nin bir parçası olacak?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 16 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 95% ile "Moderates", ardından 89% ile "Social Democrats" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 95¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 95% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Hangi taraflar bir sonraki Danimarka Hükümeti'nin bir parçası olacak?" toplam $85.7K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Mar 13, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Hangi taraflar bir sonraki Danimarka Hükümeti'nin bir parçası olacak?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 16 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Hangi taraflar bir sonraki Danimarka Hükümeti'nin bir parçası olacak?" için mevcut favori 95% ile "Moderates"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 95% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 89% ile "Social Democrats"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Hangi taraflar bir sonraki Danimarka Hükümeti'nin bir parçası olacak?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.