President Trump's renewed public push for U.S. acquisition of Greenland since his January 2025 inauguration, including January 2026 calls for immediate negotiations at Davos and recent statements citing national security against Russia and China, has met firm Danish and Greenlandic opposition declaring sovereignty non-negotiable. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Greenland's leadership emphasized in joint statements that the autonomous territory will not be sold, while NATO allies voiced concerns over alliance strains. Absent any diplomatic breakthroughs or willingness to cede control by April 2026, traders price a 91.8% "No" probability, reflecting structural barriers like international law, massive costs exceeding $700 billion, and political resistance, with late-breaking concessions or crises as rare upset risks before 2027.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$32,561,529 Hac.
$32,561,529 Hac.
Evet
$32,561,529 Hac.
$32,561,529 Hac.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's renewed public push for U.S. acquisition of Greenland since his January 2025 inauguration, including January 2026 calls for immediate negotiations at Davos and recent statements citing national security against Russia and China, has met firm Danish and Greenlandic opposition declaring sovereignty non-negotiable. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Greenland's leadership emphasized in joint statements that the autonomous territory will not be sold, while NATO allies voiced concerns over alliance strains. Absent any diplomatic breakthroughs or willingness to cede control by April 2026, traders price a 91.8% "No" probability, reflecting structural barriers like international law, massive costs exceeding $700 billion, and political resistance, with late-breaking concessions or crises as rare upset risks before 2027.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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