Tom Aspinall leads trader consensus at 64% implied probability as the reigning UFC Heavyweight champion, bolstered by his undefeated streak since inheriting the title from Jon Jones' 2025 retirement, elite finishing rate (12 TKOs, 3 submissions in 15 UFC wins), and stylistic edges in speed and grappling over the division. Sergei Pavlovich (28.6%) and Ciryl Gane (27.0%) follow closely due to knockout power and technical striking, respectively, with Pavlovich's 2025 decision wins over Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Jairzinho Rozenstruik sustaining momentum. Derrick Lewis (28.1%) persists as a live underdog via one-punch KO threat despite a January TKO loss to Cortes-Acosta (24.5%), while Curtis Blaydes (10.3%) slipped after his grueling UFC 327 war loss to Josh Hokit on April 11. The crowded field reflects no clear title challenger post-UFC 327, emphasizing Aspinall's path to multiple defenses amid rising contenders like Ante Delija and Serghei Spivac.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTom Aspinall 70%
Ciryl Gane 39%
Sergei Pavlovich 28.7%
Derrick Lewis 28.1%
$29,302 Hac.
$29,302 Hac.
Tom Aspinall
64%
Ciryl Gane
27%
Sergei Pavlovich
29%
Derrick Lewis
28%
Ante Delija
25%
Curtis Blaydes
9%
Marcin Tybura
8%
Serghei Spivac
15%
Alexander Volkov
9%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
25%
Jailton Almeida
15%
Tom Aspinall 70%
Ciryl Gane 39%
Sergei Pavlovich 28.7%
Derrick Lewis 28.1%
$29,302 Hac.
$29,302 Hac.
Tom Aspinall
64%
Ciryl Gane
27%
Sergei Pavlovich
29%
Derrick Lewis
28%
Ante Delija
25%
Curtis Blaydes
9%
Marcin Tybura
8%
Serghei Spivac
15%
Alexander Volkov
9%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
25%
Jailton Almeida
15%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Aspinall leads trader consensus at 64% implied probability as the reigning UFC Heavyweight champion, bolstered by his undefeated streak since inheriting the title from Jon Jones' 2025 retirement, elite finishing rate (12 TKOs, 3 submissions in 15 UFC wins), and stylistic edges in speed and grappling over the division. Sergei Pavlovich (28.6%) and Ciryl Gane (27.0%) follow closely due to knockout power and technical striking, respectively, with Pavlovich's 2025 decision wins over Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Jairzinho Rozenstruik sustaining momentum. Derrick Lewis (28.1%) persists as a live underdog via one-punch KO threat despite a January TKO loss to Cortes-Acosta (24.5%), while Curtis Blaydes (10.3%) slipped after his grueling UFC 327 war loss to Josh Hokit on April 11. The crowded field reflects no clear title challenger post-UFC 327, emphasizing Aspinall's path to multiple defenses amid rising contenders like Ante Delija and Serghei Spivac.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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