Trader consensus heavily favors Ilia Topuria at 69.5% implied probability to hold the UFC lightweight title through year-end, buoyed by his first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira to claim the vacant belt at UFC 317 last June and his undefeated 17-0 record blending elite power punching with grappling. Topuria returns from a personal hiatus to unify against interim champion Justin Gaethje in the historic UFC White House main event on June 14, where his youth and finishing ability give him a stylistic edge over the 35-year-old Gaethje, who earned the strap via gritty unanimous decision over Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324 in January. Arman Tsarukyan's 17% reflects his top-contender wrestling pedigree and recent victory over Dan Hooker, positioning him as a likely next challenger, while Benoît Saint Denis at 8.6% gains from momentum-building finishes despite a recent stoppage loss to Dustin Poirier.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiIlia Topuria 63%
Arman Tsarukyan 17%
Justin Gaethje 12.0%
Benoît Saint Denis 3.3%
$19,462 Hac.
$19,462 Hac.
Ilia Topuria
70%
Arman Tsarukyan
17%
Charles Oliveira
1%
Max Holloway
1%
Justin Gaethje
12%
Paddy Pimblett
<1%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
9%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Ilia Topuria 63%
Arman Tsarukyan 17%
Justin Gaethje 12.0%
Benoît Saint Denis 3.3%
$19,462 Hac.
$19,462 Hac.
Ilia Topuria
70%
Arman Tsarukyan
17%
Charles Oliveira
1%
Max Holloway
1%
Justin Gaethje
12%
Paddy Pimblett
<1%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
9%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Ilia Topuria at 69.5% implied probability to hold the UFC lightweight title through year-end, buoyed by his first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira to claim the vacant belt at UFC 317 last June and his undefeated 17-0 record blending elite power punching with grappling. Topuria returns from a personal hiatus to unify against interim champion Justin Gaethje in the historic UFC White House main event on June 14, where his youth and finishing ability give him a stylistic edge over the 35-year-old Gaethje, who earned the strap via gritty unanimous decision over Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324 in January. Arman Tsarukyan's 17% reflects his top-contender wrestling pedigree and recent victory over Dan Hooker, positioning him as a likely next challenger, while Benoît Saint Denis at 8.6% gains from momentum-building finishes despite a recent stoppage loss to Dustin Poirier.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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