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Seçimler·Vance

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Market icon
Seçimler·Vance

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

13% olasılık
Polymarket

$49,278 Hac.

13% olasılık
Polymarket

$49,278 Hac.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.President Trump has repeatedly declined to endorse Vice President JD Vance as his 2028 successor, praising Vance alongside Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other cabinet members while stressing it's premature. In a late March Mar-a-Lago gathering, Trump informally polled about 25 Republican donors and allies, who overwhelmingly favored Rubio amid loud cheers for him. A CPAC straw poll the same month saw Rubio surge to 35% support, challenging Vance's lead. Recent reports note Vance's setbacks, including stalled foreign negotiations and a sparsely attended Turning Point event, eroding his heir apparent status. With midterms approaching, traders see scant momentum for a pre-2027 endorsement amid this open field.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Hacim
$49,278
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 22, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.President Trump has repeatedly declined to endorse Vice President JD Vance as his 2028 successor, praising Vance alongside Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other cabinet members while stressing it's premature. In a late March Mar-a-Lago gathering, Trump informally polled about 25 Republican donors and allies, who overwhelmingly favored Rubio amid loud cheers for him. A CPAC straw poll the same month saw Rubio surge to 35% support, challenging Vance's lead. Recent reports note Vance's setbacks, including stalled foreign negotiations and a sparsely attended Turning Point event, eroding his heir apparent status. With midterms approaching, traders see scant momentum for a pre-2027 endorsement amid this open field.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Hacim
$49,278
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 22, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?", yatırımcıların bu olayın gerçekleşip gerçekleşmeyeceğine inançlarına göre "Evet" veya "Hayır" hisseleri alıp sattığı Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut kitle kaynaklı olasılık "Yes" için 13%'dir. Örneğin, "Evet" 13¢ fiyatındaysa, piyasa toplu olarak bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 13% olarak belirler. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?" toplam $49.3K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Dec 22, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için cevabın "Evet" mi yoksa "Hayır" mı olacağına inandığınızı seçin. Her tarafın piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını yansıtan bir güncel fiyatı vardır. Miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. "Evet" hisseleri satın alırsanız ve sonuç "Evet" olarak çözümlenirse, her hisse 1$ öder. "Hayır" olarak çözümlenirse, "Evet" hisseleriniz 0$ öder. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?" için mevcut olasılık "Yes" için 13%'dir. Bu, Polymarket topluluğunun şu anda bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 13% olarak gördüğü anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar gerçek işlemlere dayalı olarak gerçek zamanlı güncellenir ve piyasanın ne olmasını beklediğine dair sürekli güncellenen bir sinyal sağlar.

"Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.