Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 91% for revoking New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani's citizenship before 2027, driven by the absence of any Department of Justice action despite House Republican letters in late 2025 urging a probe into his 2018 naturalization process. Lawmakers, led by Rep. Andy Ogles, alleged Mamdani concealed affiliations with groups like the Holy Land Foundation on immigration forms, but denaturalization requires proving intentional material misrepresentation—a rare, high legal bar set by Supreme Court precedents rejecting its use as a political tool. No formal DOJ or USCIS proceedings have emerged since his January 2026 inauguration, with no notable developments in the past 30 days amid ongoing partisan rhetoric; late-breaking evidence or a policy shift could still alter odds, though time constraints to year-end limit feasibility.