The Alaska Senate contest between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola remains a tossup, with recent polling averages showing margins of 1-2 points and multiple forecasts rating the race as competitive or lean Republican. This dynamic intersects with the open gubernatorial race, where Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins consolidated support after the August primary while Republicans field multiple candidates including Bernadette Wilson. Alaska's ranked-choice voting system in both races amplifies uncertainty over final tallies and split-ticket outcomes. Trader pricing reflects these narrow polling gaps and the potential for either party to secure both offices or divide them, with limited post-primary general election data leaving room for shifts from late campaigning or turnout patterns ahead of the November vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDems sweep 53%
Reps sweep 26%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 12%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 9%
$12,606 Обс.
$12,606 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
53%
Reps sweep
26%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
12%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
9%
Dems sweep 53%
Reps sweep 26%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 12%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 9%
$12,606 Обс.
$12,606 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$6,285 Обс.
53%
Reps sweep
$3,625 Обс.
26%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$1,043 Обс.
12%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$1,653 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
The Alaska Senate contest between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola remains a tossup, with recent polling averages showing margins of 1-2 points and multiple forecasts rating the race as competitive or lean Republican. This dynamic intersects with the open gubernatorial race, where Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins consolidated support after the August primary while Republicans field multiple candidates including Bernadette Wilson. Alaska's ranked-choice voting system in both races amplifies uncertainty over final tallies and split-ticket outcomes. Trader pricing reflects these narrow polling gaps and the potential for either party to secure both offices or divide them, with limited post-primary general election data leaving room for shifts from late campaigning or turnout patterns ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,606Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
The Alaska Senate contest between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola remains a tossup, with recent polling averages showing margins of 1-2 points and multiple forecasts rating the race as competitive or lean Republican. This dynamic intersects with the open gubernatorial race, where Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins consolidated support after the August primary while Republicans field multiple candidates including Bernadette Wilson. Alaska's ranked-choice voting system in both races amplifies uncertainty over final tallies and split-ticket outcomes. Trader pricing reflects these narrow polling gaps and the potential for either party to secure both offices or divide them, with limited post-primary general election data leaving room for shifts from late campaigning or turnout patterns ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$12,606Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Alaska Senate contest between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola remains a tossup, with recent polling averages showing margins of 1-2 points and multiple forecasts rating the race as competitive or lean Republican. This dynamic intersects with the open gubernatorial race, where Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins consolidated support after the August primary while Republicans field multiple candidates including Bernadette Wilson. Alaska's ranked-choice voting system in both races amplifies uncertainty over final tallies and split-ticket outcomes. Trader pricing reflects these narrow polling gaps and the potential for either party to secure both offices or divide them, with limited post-primary general election data leaving room for shifts from late campaigning or turnout patterns ahead of the November vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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