Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

66% шанс — ні

-5.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

85% шанс — ні

-1.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

93% шанс — так

+2.9%

$3M Обсяг

Мільярдер одноразово сплачує податок на багатство на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?

62% шанс — ні

+1.0%

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

66% шанс — ні

-5.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

85% шанс — ні

-1.5%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

$435K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$335K Обсяг

AK Senate

59% Демократ

$372K Обсяг

ME Senate

64% Демократ

+1%

$119K Обсяг

IA Senate

62% Республіканець

-1%

$99.2K Обсяг

OH Governor

54% Республіканець

-3%

$435K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$335K Обсяг

AK Senate

59% Демократ

$372K Обсяг

ME Senate

64% Демократ

+1%

Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії Ксав'єр Бесерра

Всі перегони

517 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії	Ксав'єр Бесерра	77%
	Том Стейєр	15%
	Стів Гілтон	6%
Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски	Том Бегіч	30%
	Бернадетт Вілсон	27%
	Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс	16%
	Click Bishop	6%
	Treg Taylor	6%
	David Bronson	5%
	Matt Claman	4%
	Ненсі Дальстром	3%
	Adam Crum	1%
	Hank Kroll	1%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	61%
	James Talarico (D)	40%
AZ-01 Переможець республіканських праймеріз	Джей Філі	75%
	Джозеф Чаплік	10%
	Мішель Удженті-Ріта	1%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	65%
	Republican	36%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	92%
	Dan Bilzerian	6%
	Aaron Baker	2%
	Alexandra Van Cleef	1%
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Claire Valdez	73%
	Antonio Reynoso	24%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Republican	61%
	Independent	37%
	Democrat	4%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	63%
	Democrat	38%
New York Governor Election Winner	Democrat	86%
	Republican	12%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	80%
	Independent	16%
	Democrat	1%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	86%
	Michael Whatley (R)	16%
NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Adam Hamawy	90%
	Susan Altman	4%
	Verlina Reynolds-Jackson	3%
	Matthew Adams	1%
	Brad Cohen	1%
	Tennille R. McCoy	1%
	Kyle Little	1%
Iowa Governor Election Winner	Democrat	64%
	Republican	31%
Florida Senate Election Winner	Republican	82%
	Democrat	19%
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ben McAdams	82%
	Nate Blouin	14%
	Liban Mohamed	4%
CA-04 Primary Winners	Mike Thompson	95%
	Eric Jones	94%
	Laurie MacKenzie	4%
	John Wesley Tyler	2%
	Heath Fulkerson	1%
	Trevor Merrell	1%
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner	Ritchie Torres	89%
	Michael Blake	3%
	Dalourny Nemorin	3%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	82%
	Oliver Adams Larkin	10%
	Jared Moskowitz	2%
MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Matt Little	74%
	Matt Klein	14%
	Kaela Berg	5%
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Darializa Avila Chevalier	52%
	Adriano Espaillat	50%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Democrat	87%
	Republican	14%
NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Laura Gillen	93%
	Nicholas Sciretta	6%
	Taylor Darling	1%
Mississippi Senate Election Winner	Republican	88%
	Democrat	12%
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Wesley Bell	68%
	Cori Bush	32%
CA-19 Primary Winners	Jimmy Panetta	99%
	Peter Verbica	86%
	Sean Dougherty	15%
	Tuka Gafari	4%
	Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera	2%
	Lars Mapstead	2%
CA-07 Primary Winners	Doris Matsui	98%
	Mai Vang	76%
	Zachariah Wooden	19%
	Robert Morin	2%
	Enayat Nazhat	2%
	Ralph Nwobi	2%
IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Lindsay James	93%
	Clint Twedt-Ball	4%
	Kathy Dolter	2%
	Guy Morgan	1%
CA-45 Primary Winners	Derek Tran	99%
	Chuong Vo	73%
	Chi Charlie Nguyen	28%
	Tom Vo	14%
	Mark Leonard	2%
VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Elaine Luria	96%
	James Osyf	1%
	Matt Strickler	1%
	Patrick Mosolf	1%
	Burk Stringfellow	1%
	Nila Devanath	1%
NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Hakeem Jeffries	97%
	Chi Ossé	3%
	Vance Bostic	1%
MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ryan Busse	77%
	Samuel Forstag	14%
	Russell Cleveland	1%
	Matt Rains	1%
NV-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Susie Lee	97%
	James Lally	2%
	Terrill Robinson	1%
	Brandon West	1%
NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Rebecca Bennett	97%
	Brian Varela	3%
	Tina Shah	2%
	Michael Roth	1%
CA-34 Primary Winners	Jimmy Gomez	98%
	Angela Gonzales-Torres	78%
	Calvin Lee	6%
	Robert Lucero	5%
	Loren Colin	2%
	Arthur Dixon	1%
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners	Nick Begich III	92%
	Matt Schultz	92%
	Bill Hill	90%
	John Williams	69%
	Gavin Solomon	33%
	Matthew "Bronco" Williams	25%
CA-37 Primary Winners	Sydney Kamlager-Dove	99%
	Baltazar Fedalizo	51%
	Todd Lombardo	50%
	John Thompson Parker	3%
	Ryan Duckett	2%
	Elizabeth Fenner	2%
	Samantha Mota	2%
	Juan Rey	2%
	Steven Hill	2%
NJ-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Frank Pallone Jr.	99%
	John Hsu	1%
CA-48 Primary Winners	Jim Desmond	98%
	Marni von Wilpert	61%
	Mike Schaefer	47%
	Ammar Campa-Najjar	45%
	Eric Shaw	24%
	Corinna Contreras	24%
	Ferguson Porter	7%
	Brandon Riker	3%
	Kevin O'Neil	3%
	Abel Chavez	2%
	Luis Reyna	2%
	Stephen Clemons	2%
CA-13 Primary Winners	Adam Gray	97%
	Kevin Lincoln II	97%
	Vin Kruttiventi	4%
	Daniel Garibay Rodriguez	3%
CA-03 Primary Winners	Ami Bera	97%
	Robb Tucker	83%
	Chris Bennett	22%
	Heidi Hall	11%
	Chris Richardson	5%
	Christine Bish	4%
	Laura Koscki	4%
	Lyndon Cervantes	1%
CA-26 Primary Winners	Jacqui Irwin	98%
	Sam Gallucci	62%
	Michael Koslow	34%
	Chris Espinosa	9%
	Liam Hernandez	3%
	Sonia Kacker	3%
	Sasan Samadzadeh	2%
	William Scott	2%
MT-01 Republican Primary Winner	Aaron Flint	98%
	Christi Jacobsen	3%
NV-03 Republican Primary Winner	Martin O'Donnell	97%
	Tera Anderson	1%
	Jeff Gunter	1%
	Aury Nagy	1%
CA-06 Primary Winners	Kevin Kiley	97%
	Richard Pan	62%
	Thien Ho	29%
	Lauren Babb Tomlinson	9%
	Tyler Vandenberg	5%
	Martha Guerrero	3%
	Michael Stansfield	2%
CA-14 Primary Winners	Aisha Wahab	90%
	Melissa Hernandez	53%
	Victor Aguilar Jr.	47%
	Carin Elam	42%
	Rakhi Israni Singh	34%
	Wendy Huang	31%
	Matt Ortega	3%
	Suzanne Chenault	2%
CA-01 Special Election Winner?	James Gallagher	93%
	Mike McGuire	4%
	Audrey Denney	3%
	Jot Thiara	1%
	Richard Montgomery	1%
NJ-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Robert Menendez Jr.	88%
	Mussab Ali	9%
DC Delegate Democratic Primary Winner	Robert White	84%
	Brooke Pinto	11%
	Gregory Jaczko	2%
	Trent Holbrook	1%
	Kinney Zalesne	1%
Чи ухвалять одноразовий податок на багатство мільярдерів на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?	Yes	39%

Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски Том Бегіч

30%

Бернадетт Вілсон

27%

Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

61%

James Talarico (D)

40%

AZ-01 Переможець республіканських праймеріз Джей Філі

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

65%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

36%

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner Claire Valdez

73%

Antonio Reynoso

24%

Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

63%

Democrat

38%

New York Governor Election Winner Democrat

86%

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

12%

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

86%

Michael Whatley (R)

16%

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner Adam Hamawy

90%

Susan Altman

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

Iowa Governor Election Winner Democrat

64%

Florida Senate Election Winner Republican

31%

82%

Democrat

19%

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Ben McAdams

CA-04 Primary Winners Mike Thompson

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner Ritchie Torres

89%

Michael Blake

Dalourny Nemorin

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner Matt Little

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner Darializa Avila Chevalier

52%

Adriano Espaillat

50%

Georgia Senate Election Winner Democrat

87%