Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$6.4K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

85% шанс — ні

-4.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

82% шанс — ні

+4.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

92% шанс — так

+3.5%

$4M Обсяг

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

69% шанс — ні

+3.5%

$6.4K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

85% шанс — ні

-4.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

82% шанс — ні

+4.5%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

$1M Обсяг

AK Governor

58% Республіканець

$996K Обсяг

ME Senate

65% Демократ

$594K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$365K Обсяг

AK Senate

60% Демократ

$142K Обсяг

IA Senate

59% Республіканець

+3%

$1M Обсяг

AK Governor

58% Республіканець

$996K Обсяг

ME Senate

65% Демократ

$594K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Всі перегони

528 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	94%
	Steve Hilton	6%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	31%
	Bernadette Wilson	23%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	16%
	Treg Taylor	8%
	David Bronson	6%
	Bill Walker	6%
	Click Bishop	5%
	Nancy Dahlstrom	1%
	Matt Claman	1%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	66%
	Republican	35%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	56%
	James Talarico (D)	44%
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jay Feely	90%
	Joseph Chaplik	10%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	60%
	Dan Sullivan	39%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Republican	69%
	Independent	32%
	Democrat	1%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	61%
	Democrat	41%
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Democrat	74%
	Republican	28%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Republican	61%
	Democrat	40%
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Lamb	88%
	Daniel Keenan	12%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Jon Husted (R)	52%
	Sherrod Brown (D)	49%
South Carolina Senate Election Winner	Republican	83%
	Democrat	19%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory	Lasher <5%	97%
	Lasher 15%+	1%
	Lasher 5–10%	1%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	88%
	Independent	11%
	Democrat	1%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	86%
	Michael Whatley (R)	14%
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner	Democrat	71%
	Republican	30%
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Cori Bush	56%
	Wesley Bell	44%
Minnesota Governor Election Winner	Democrat	94%
	Republican	3%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Democrat	86%
	Republican	15%
MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner	William Lawrence	47%
	Matt Maasdam	30%
	Bridget Brink	23%
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Koh	68%
	Tram Nguyen	29%
	Kevin Larivee	1%
Florida Senate Election Winner	Republican	84%
	Democrat	17%
MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner	Christina Hines	68%
	Eric Chung	21%
	Tim Greimel	8%
Georgia Governor Election Winner	Democrat	54%
	Republican	45%
Nevada Governor Election Winner	Democrat	52%
	Republican	49%
MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Matt Little	87%
	Kaela Berg	7%
	Matt Klein	5%
MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner	Jeremy Moss	84%
	Aisha Farooqi	15%
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner	Democrat	83%
	Republican	18%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Thomas Chalifoux	42%
	Jorge Martinez	23%
	Marcus Carter	15%
	Dan Green	11%
	Justin Story	8%
	Steve Rance	4%
	Howard Steven Rance	3%
	Ben Butler	2%
	Jorge Malavet	1%
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner	Jim Schwartzel	48%
	Catalina Lauf	30%
	Jim Oberweis	16%
	Madison Cawthorn	5%
Oregon Governor Election Winner	Democrat	83%
	Republican	18%
Vermont Governor Election Winner	Republican	90%
	Democrat	9%
Maine Governor Election Winner	Democrat	94%
	Republican	6%
MI-10 Republican Primary Winner	Mike Bouchard	96%
	Justin Kirk	3%
	Robert Lulgjuraj	1%
AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Greg Stanton	93%
	Kai Newkirk	7%
AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Elizabeth Lee	89%
	Chris James	8%
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner	Democrat	95%
	Republican	6%
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner	Justin Pearson	96%
	London Lamar	3%
	Steve Cohen	1%
	DeVante Hill	1%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	64%
	Elijah Manley	35%
CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Luke Bronin	65%
	John Larson	25%
	Jillian Gilchrest	1%
Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?	Mary Peltola	66%
	Sen. Dan S. Sullivan	33%
	Richard Grayson	2%
	Earl D. "Skip" Southworth	2%
	Scott Kohlhaas	1%
	Richard Benedict Mayers	1%
	Heather McElwain	1%
	Shirley Saucerman	1%
	Dan J. Sullivan	1%
Kentucky Senate Election Winner	Andy Barr (R)	93%
	Charles Booker (D)	6%
VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Shannon Taylor	99%
	Salaam Bhatti	1%
	Tim Cywinski	1%
AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Amish Shah	67%
	Marlene Galán-Woods	20%
	Jonathan Treble	11%
Hawaii Governor Election Winner	Democrat	94%
	Republican	4%
MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Hartzell Gray	57%
	Jordan Herrera	30%
	Jeanette Cass	5%
	G Rick	4%
	Ashleigh Rogers	3%
	Randy Miller	1%
	Wayne Russell	1%
Kansas Governor Election Winner	Republican	66%
	Democrat	32%
MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Callie Barr	52%
	Kyle Blomquist	43%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	31%

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

Steve Hilton

31%

Bernadette Wilson

23%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

66%

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

35%

56%

James Talarico (D)

44%

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner Jay Feely

90%

Joseph Chaplik

10%

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

60%

Dan Sullivan

39%

Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

61%

Michigan Senate Election Winner Democrat

41%

74%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Republican

28%

61%

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner Mark Lamb

40%

88%

Daniel Keenan

12%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Jon Husted (R)

52%

Sherrod Brown (D)

49%

South Carolina Senate Election Winner Republican

83%

NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Lasher <5%

19%

97%

Lasher 15%+

Lasher 5–10%

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

86%

Michael Whatley (R)

14%

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner Democrat

71%

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Cori Bush

30%

56%

Wesley Bell

44%

Minnesota Governor Election Winner Democrat

Georgia Senate Election Winner Democrat

86%

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner William Lawrence

15%

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner Dan Koh

Florida Senate Election Winner Republican

84%

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner Christina Hines

17%

Georgia Governor Election Winner Democrat

54%

Nevada Governor Election Winner Democrat

45%

52%

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner Matt Little

49%

87%

Kaela Berg

Matt Klein

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner Jeremy Moss

84%

Aisha Farooqi

15%

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner Democrat

83%

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Thomas Chalifoux

18%

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner Jim Schwartzel

Oregon Governor Election Winner Democrat

83%

Vermont Governor Election Winner Republican

18%

90%

Maine Governor Election Winner Democrat

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner Mike Bouchard

96%

Justin Kirk

Robert Lulgjuraj

AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner Greg Stanton

93%

Kai Newkirk

AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner Elizabeth Lee

89%

Chris James

Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner Democrat

95%

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner Justin Pearson

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Debbie Wasserman Schultz

64%

Elijah Manley

35%

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Luke Bronin

Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?Mary Peltola

Earl D. "Skip" Southworth

Scott Kohlhaas

Richard Benedict Mayers

Heather McElwain

Shirley Saucerman

Dan J. Sullivan

Kentucky Senate Election Winner Andy Barr (R)

93%

Charles Booker (D)

VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner Shannon Taylor

99%

Salaam Bhatti

Tim Cywinski

AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner Amish Shah

Hawaii Governor Election Winner Democrat

MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner Hartzell Gray

Kansas Governor Election Winner Republican

66%