Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$6.4K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

85% шанс — ні

-4.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

82% шанс — ні

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

92% шанс — так

-0.3%

$4M Обсяг

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

69% шанс — ні

$6.4K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

85% шанс — ні

-4.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

82% шанс — ні

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

AK Governor

57% Республіканець

ME Senate

66% Демократ

$595K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$365K Обсяг

AK Senate

61% Демократ

$142K Обсяг

IA Senate

60% Республіканець

AK Governor

57% Республіканець

ME Senate

66% Демократ

$595K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Всі перегони

528 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	94%
	Steve Hilton	6%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	66%
	Republican	35%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	56%
	James Talarico (D)	44%
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jay Feely	90%
	Joseph Chaplik	11%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	96%
	Dan Bilzerian	2%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	84%
	Republican	16%
	Independent	1%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Republican	70%
	Independent	31%
	Democrat	1%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	60%
	Democrat	41%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Republican	60%
	Democrat	40%
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Lamb	86%
	Daniel Keenan	13%
South Carolina Senate Election Winner	Republican	83%
	Democrat	18%
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Donavan McKinney	61%
	Shri Thanedar	32%
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Cori Bush	56%
	Wesley Bell	44%
Minnesota Governor Election Winner	Democrat	94%
	Republican	3%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Democrat	86%
	Republican	15%
MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner	William Lawrence	51%
	Matt Maasdam	27%
	Bridget Brink	18%
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Koh	68%
	Tram Nguyen	32%
	Kevin Larivee	1%
Georgia Governor Election Winner	Democrat	56%
	Republican	45%
MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner	Christina Hines	73%
	Eric Chung	21%
	Tim Greimel	8%
AL-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jerry Carl	64%
	Rhett Marques	24%
	John Mills	11%
	Austin Sidwell	3%
MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Matt Little	85%
	Kaela Berg	12%
	Matt Klein	5%
MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner	Jeremy Moss	85%
	Aisha Farooqi	15%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Thomas Chalifoux	42%
	Jorge Martinez	15%
	Marcus Carter	14%
	Dan Green	13%
	Justin Story	9%
	Steve Rance	4%
	Jorge Malavet	3%
	Howard Steven Rance	3%
	Ben Butler	2%
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner	Jim Schwartzel	52%
	Catalina Lauf	30%
	Jim Oberweis	17%
	Madison Cawthorn	5%
Mississippi Senate Election Winner	Republican	91%
	Democrat	9%
Maine Governor Election Winner	Democrat	94%
	Republican	6%
MN-02 Republican Primary Winner	Eric Pratt	97%
Tennessee Senate Election Winner	Republican	94%
	Democrat	3%
AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Greg Stanton	93%
	Kai Newkirk	7%
AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Elizabeth Lee	91%
	Chris James	7%
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner	Democrat	94%
	Republican	6%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	67%
	Elijah Manley	32%
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner	Justin Pearson	95%
	London Lamar	2%
	Steve Cohen	1%
	DeVante Hill	1%
CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Luke Bronin	71%
	John Larson	25%
	Jillian Gilchrest	1%
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner	Republican	94%
	Democrat	5%
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners	Nick Begich III	99%
	Bill Hill	95%
	John Williams	75%
	Matthew "Bronco" Williams	48%
	Matt Schultz	7%
	Gavin Solomon	1%
VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Shannon Taylor	98%
	Salaam Bhatti	2%
	Tim Cywinski	1%
AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Amish Shah	67%
	Marlene Galán-Woods	20%
	Jonathan Treble	11%
West Virginia Senate Election Winner	Republican	95%
	Democrat	2%
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner	Republican	76%
	Democrat	26%
Nebraska Governor Election Winner	Republican	85%
	Democrat	16%
MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Hartzell Gray	53%
	Jordan Herrera	28%
	Jeanette Cass	5%
	G Rick	4%
	Ashleigh Rogers	3%
	Randy Miller	1%
	Wayne Russell	1%
Kansas Governor Election Winner	Republican	68%
	Democrat	32%
MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Callie Barr	52%
	Kyle Blomquist	44%
MO-06 Republican Primary Winner	Chris Stigall	61%
	Nathan Willett	42%
	Nathanael Schultz	3%
HI-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ed Case	51%
	Jarrett Keohokalole	44%
	Jennifer Booker	2%
	Nicholas Kiswanto	2%
	Ben Fatula	1%
MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Stephen Lynch	55%
	Patrick Roath	45%
MI-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jack Bergman	96%
	Matthew DenOtter	3%
	Justin Michal	2%
WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Rebecca Cooke	90%
	Emily Berge	12%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	31%

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

Steve Hilton

66%

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

35%

56%

James Talarico (D)

44%

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner Jay Feely

90%

Joseph Chaplik

11%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

96%

Dan Bilzerian

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

60%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Republican

41%

60%

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner Mark Lamb

40%

86%

Daniel Keenan

13%

South Carolina Senate Election Winner Republican

83%

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner Donavan McKinney

18%

61%

Shri Thanedar

32%

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Cori Bush

56%

Wesley Bell

44%

Minnesota Governor Election Winner Democrat

Georgia Senate Election Winner Democrat

86%

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner William Lawrence

15%

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner Dan Koh

Georgia Governor Election Winner Democrat

56%

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner Christina Hines

45%

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner Jerry Carl

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner Matt Little

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner Jeremy Moss

85%

Aisha Farooqi

15%

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Thomas Chalifoux

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner Jim Schwartzel

Mississippi Senate Election Winner Republican

91%

Maine Governor Election Winner Democrat

MN-02 Republican Primary Winner Eric Pratt

97%

Tennessee Senate Election Winner Republican

AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner Greg Stanton

93%

Kai Newkirk

AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner Elizabeth Lee

91%

Chris James

Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner Democrat

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Debbie Wasserman Schultz

67%

Elijah Manley

32%

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner Justin Pearson

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Luke Bronin

Oklahoma Senate Election Winner Republican

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners Nick Begich III

Matthew "Bronco" Williams

48%

Matt Schultz

Gavin Solomon

VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner Shannon Taylor

98%

Salaam Bhatti

Tim Cywinski

AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner Amish Shah

West Virginia Senate Election Winner Republican

95%

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner Republican

76%

Nebraska Governor Election Winner Republican

26%

85%

MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner Hartzell Gray

16%

Kansas Governor Election Winner Republican

68%