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icon for Наступні президентські вибори у Франції
Світ·Вибори у Франції

Наступні президентські вибори у Франції

icon for Наступні президентські вибори у Франції
Світ·Вибори у Франції

Наступні президентські вибори у Франції

Марін Ле Пен 34.6%

Едуар Філіп 29%

Жан-Люк Меланшон 12%

Давід Ліснар 5.8%

Polymarket

$132,705,265 Обс.

Марін Ле Пен 34.6%

Едуар Філіп 29%

Жан-Люк Меланшон 12%

Давід Ліснар 5.8%

Polymarket

$132,705,265 Обс.

icon for Марін Ле Пен

Марін Ле Пен

$2,404,330 Обс.

35%

icon for Едуар Філіп

Едуар Філіп

$1,583,544 Обс.

29%

icon for Жан-Люк Меланшон

Жан-Люк Меланшон

$1,429,649 Обс.

12%

icon for Давід Ліснар

Давід Ліснар

$2,032,153 Обс.

6%

icon for Франсуа Олланд

Франсуа Олланд

$1,751,170 Обс.

3%

icon for Бруно Ретайо

Бруно Ретайо

$2,243,048 Обс.

2%

icon for Габріель Атталь

Габріель Атталь

$2,257,453 Обс.

2%

icon for Жордан Барделла

Жордан Барделла

$2,102,166 Обс.

2%

icon for Рафель Глюксман

Рафель Глюксман

$1,714,623 Обс.

2%

icon for Сара Кнафо

Сара Кнафо

$2,050,948 Обс.

2%

icon for Домінік де Вільпен

Домінік де Вільпен

$1,855,533 Обс.

1%

icon for Себастьян Лекорню

Себастьян Лекорню

$1,656,174 Обс.

1%

icon for Ерік Земмур

Ерік Земмур

$2,310,809 Обс.

1%

icon for Лоран Вокьє

Лоран Вокьє

$3,683,623 Обс.

<1%

icon for Жеральд Дарманен

Жеральд Дарманен

$2,086,428 Обс.

<1%

icon for Хуан Бранко

Хуан Бранко

$2,260,281 Обс.

<1%

icon for Клеманс Гетте

Клеманс Гетте

$4,175,089 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ксав'є Бертран

Ксав'є Бертран

$5,933,899 Обс.

<1%

icon for Франсуа Руффен

Франсуа Руффен

$3,613,153 Обс.

<1%

icon for Марін Тондельє

Марін Тондельє

$4,116,622 Обс.

<1%

icon for Жан Кастекс

Жан Кастекс

$1,681,852 Обс.

<1%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$856,219 Обс.

<1%

icon for Фаб'єн Руссель

Фаб'єн Руссель

$4,244,282 Обс.

<1%

icon for Олів'є Фюр

Олів'є Фюр

$5,722,887 Обс.

<1%

icon for Сеголен Руаяль

Сеголен Руаяль

$5,981,578 Обс.

<1%

icon for Франсуа Асселено

Франсуа Асселено

$5,755,656 Обс.

<1%

icon for Клемантін Отен

Клемантін Отен

$4,990,060 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ніколя Дюпон-Еньян

Ніколя Дюпон-Еньян

$4,731,095 Обс.

<1%

icon for Мішель Барньє

Мішель Барньє

$5,253,704 Обс.

<1%

icon for Валері Пекресс

Валері Пекресс

$4,066,879 Обс.

<1%

icon for Франсуа Байру

Франсуа Байру

$5,939,540 Обс.

<1%

icon for Елізабет Борн

Елізабет Борн

$5,446,116 Обс.

<1%

icon for Яель Браун-Піве

Яель Браун-Піве

$5,701,432 Обс.

<1%

icon for Кароль Дельга

Кароль Дельга

$4,742,192 Обс.

<1%

icon for Бернар Казнев

Бернар Казнев

$2,337,313 Обс.

<1%

icon for Мануель Бомпар

Мануель Бомпар

$4,826,235 Обс.

<1%

icon for Матильда Панo

Матильда Панo

$6,420,666 Обс.

<1%

icon for Lucie Castets

Lucie Castets

$418,274 Обс.

<1%

icon for Yannick Jadot

Yannick Jadot

$750,449 Обс.

<1%

icon for François Baroin

François Baroin

$1,136,635 Обс.

<1%

icon for Marion Maréchal

Marion Maréchal

$441,505 Обс.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads the trader consensus at 34.6% due to the National Rally’s consistent first-round polling strength near 30-35% and the July 2026 appeals court ruling that shortened her ineligibility period, enabling her candidacy declaration despite the upheld conviction. Édouard Philippe follows at 28.5% as the clearest centrist alternative, drawing support from Macron-aligned voters and outperforming other moderates in head-to-head scenarios. Fragmentation across the left—where Jean-Luc Mélenchon holds around 11-17%—and among center-right figures such as Bruno Retailleau and Gabriel Attal prevents any single challenger from closing the gap. Recent September 2026 surveys confirm these patterns, with no major consolidations or new legal developments yet altering the field ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Обсяг
$132,705,265
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads the trader consensus at 34.6% due to the National Rally’s consistent first-round polling strength near 30-35% and the July 2026 appeals court ruling that shortened her ineligibility period, enabling her candidacy declaration despite the upheld conviction. Édouard Philippe follows at 28.5% as the clearest centrist alternative, drawing support from Macron-aligned voters and outperforming other moderates in head-to-head scenarios. Fragmentation across the left—where Jean-Luc Mélenchon holds around 11-17%—and among center-right figures such as Bruno Retailleau and Gabriel Attal prevents any single challenger from closing the gap. Recent September 2026 surveys confirm these patterns, with no major consolidations or new legal developments yet altering the field ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Обсяг
$132,705,265
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...

Пов'язане

icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

89%
icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

96%
icon for Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

73%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Наступні президентські вибори у Франції» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 41+ можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Марін Ле Пен» з 35%, далі «Едуар Філіп» з 28%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Наступні президентські вибори у Франції» згенерував $132.7 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 13, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Наступні президентські вибори у Франції», перегляньте 41+ доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Наступні президентські вибори у Франції» — «Марін Ле Пен» з 35%. Наступний — «Едуар Філіп» з 28%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Наступні президентські вибори у Франції» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.