Marine Le Pen leads the market at 34.6% after a July 2026 appeals court ruling reduced her ineligibility period, clearing her path to run and boosting National Rally first-round polling to the low-to-mid 30s. Édouard Philippe sits at 27.5% as the strongest centrist alternative, drawing support from Macron-era voters while other figures such as Gabriel Attal split that bloc. Jean-Luc Mélenchon holds 11.5% amid left fragmentation, with further dispersion across David Lisnard, Bruno Retailleau, Raphaël Glucksmann, and others preventing consolidation. Recent September 2026 surveys show Le Pen ahead in the first round but only narrowly favored in hypothetical runoffs against Philippe, underscoring how opposition divisions and voter transfers sustain the tight trader consensus eight months before the April 2027 vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDavid Lisnard faces challenge balancing presidential and AMF leadership campaigns
David Lisnard jumps to 7%5%
David Lisnard, while running for president, also sought re-election as president of the Association of Mayors of France, creating a complex dual campaign that limited his national visibility and market support.









































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