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icon for Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце
Політика·Бразилія

Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце

icon for Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце
Політика·Бразилія

Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце

Флавіо Болсонару 81%

Ренан Сантос 10.7%

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 7.0%

Фернандо Хаддад 1.1%

Polymarket

$4,383,648 Обс.

Флавіо Болсонару 81%

Ренан Сантос 10.7%

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 7.0%

Фернандо Хаддад 1.1%

Polymarket

$4,383,648 Обс.

icon for Флавіо Болсонару

Флавіо Болсонару

$216,954 Обс.

81%

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$1,089,641 Обс.

11%

icon for Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва

$143,320 Обс.

7%

icon for Фернандо Хаддад

Фернандо Хаддад

$686,825 Обс.

1%

icon for Роналду Каяду

Роналду Каяду

$340,949 Обс.

1%

icon for Мішель Болсонару

Мішель Болсонару

$120,753 Обс.

1%

icon for Камілу Сантана

Камілу Сантана

$96,315 Обс.

1%

icon for Тарсіо де Фрейтас

Тарсіо де Фрейтас

$190,403 Обс.

<1%

icon for Жаїр Болсонару

Жаїр Болсонару

$122,557 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ромеу Земі

Ромеу Земі

$291,245 Обс.

<1%

icon for Едуарду Болсонару

Едуарду Болсонару

$95,494 Обс.

<1%

icon for Алду Ребелу

Алду Ребелу

$56,047 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ратінью Жуніор

Ратінью Жуніор

$663,236 Обс.

<1%

icon for Жералду Алкмін

Жералду Алкмін

$148,454 Обс.

<1%

icon for Едуарду Лейте

Едуарду Лейте

$65,067 Обс.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$20,960 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$35,428 Обс.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads the market for second place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first-round presidential election with roughly 80 percent implied probability. Recent polling consistently places the Liberal Party senator behind only incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, typically in the high 20s percent while other declared or potential candidates remain in single digits. The Bolsonaro family’s established base within the right-wing electorate, combined with limited fragmentation among opposition voters, underpins trader consensus. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has registered modest gains, especially among younger voters, yet trails far behind in surveys. Lula’s first-round support hovers near or above 40 percent, reinforcing expectations that Flávio Bolsonaro will consolidate the leading challenger position absent major shifts before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$4,383,648
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads the market for second place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first-round presidential election with roughly 80 percent implied probability. Recent polling consistently places the Liberal Party senator behind only incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, typically in the high 20s percent while other declared or potential candidates remain in single digits. The Bolsonaro family’s established base within the right-wing electorate, combined with limited fragmentation among opposition voters, underpins trader consensus. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has registered modest gains, especially among younger voters, yet trails far behind in surveys. Lula’s first-round support hovers near or above 40 percent, reinforcing expectations that Flávio Bolsonaro will consolidate the leading challenger position absent major shifts before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$4,383,648
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Пов'язане

icon for Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

64%
icon for Чи переможе Луїс Інасіу Лула да Сілва на президентських виборах у Бразилії 2026 року?

Чи переможе Луїс Інасіу Лула да Сілва на президентських виборах у Бразилії 2026 року?

66%
Так
icon for Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

10%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 17 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Флавіо Болсонару» з 81%, далі «Ренан Сантос» з 11%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» згенерував $4.4 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 11, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце», перегляньте 17 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» — «Флавіо Болсонару» з 81%. Наступний — «Ренан Сантос» з 11%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.