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Політика·Бразилія

Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце

icon for Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце
Політика·Бразилія

Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце

Флавіо Болсонару 86%

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 7.3%

Ренан Сантос 4.8%

Роналду Каяду <1%

Polymarket

$4,896,238 Обс.

Флавіо Болсонару 86%

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 7.3%

Ренан Сантос 4.8%

Роналду Каяду <1%

Polymarket

$4,896,238 Обс.

icon for Флавіо Болсонару

Флавіо Болсонару

$299,938 Обс.

86%

icon for Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва

$265,894 Обс.

7%

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$1,116,823 Обс.

5%

icon for Роналду Каяду

Роналду Каяду

$364,425 Обс.

1%

icon for Камілу Сантана

Камілу Сантана

$127,248 Обс.

<1%

icon for Мішель Болсонару

Мішель Болсонару

$149,260 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ромеу Земі

Ромеу Земі

$314,233 Обс.

<1%

icon for Фернандо Хаддад

Фернандо Хаддад

$744,770 Обс.

<1%

icon for Едуарду Болсонару

Едуарду Болсонару

$110,915 Обс.

<1%

icon for Алду Ребелу

Алду Ребелу

$72,555 Обс.

<1%

icon for Тарсіо де Фрейтас

Тарсіо де Фрейтас

$209,249 Обс.

<1%

icon for Жаїр Болсонару

Жаїр Болсонару

$139,234 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ратінью Жуніор

Ратінью Жуніор

$682,224 Обс.

<1%

icon for Жералду Алкмін

Жералду Алкмін

$163,054 Обс.

<1%

icon for Едуарду Лейте

Едуарду Лейте

$79,943 Обс.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$20,972 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$35,504 Обс.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent polls consistently place him well ahead of all other non-Lula candidates. Lula da Silva, the incumbent Workers’ Party president seeking a fourth term, leads first-round surveys at 38–42 percent, while Flávio registers 31–37 percent; the remaining field—including Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema—remains in single digits. Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement of his son as the Liberal Party standard-bearer, combined with the elder Bolsonaro’s continued ineligibility, has consolidated right-wing support behind Flávio ahead of the campaign’s formal start. Minor recent tightening in runoff scenarios and isolated controversies around Flávio have not altered the first-round hierarchy reflected in polling averages.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$4,896,238
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent polls consistently place him well ahead of all other non-Lula candidates. Lula da Silva, the incumbent Workers’ Party president seeking a fourth term, leads first-round surveys at 38–42 percent, while Flávio registers 31–37 percent; the remaining field—including Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema—remains in single digits. Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement of his son as the Liberal Party standard-bearer, combined with the elder Bolsonaro’s continued ineligibility, has consolidated right-wing support behind Flávio ahead of the campaign’s formal start. Minor recent tightening in runoff scenarios and isolated controversies around Flávio have not altered the first-round hierarchy reflected in polling averages.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$4,896,238
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Пов'язане

icon for Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

53%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?

68%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?

94%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 17 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Флавіо Болсонару» з 86%, далі «Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» згенерував $4.9 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 11, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце», перегляньте 17 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» — «Флавіо Болсонару» з 86%. Наступний — «Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва» з 7%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.