Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads trader pricing at 64.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round Ceará gubernatorial vote due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Recent surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, place Gomes in the mid-40s percent range in simulated first rounds, ahead of Freitas by 10 points or more, reflecting his strengthened PSDB alliance and broad name recognition from prior governorship and national campaigns. Freitas remains competitive at 35.5% on the strength of his 2022 mandate and PT base, though recent data indicate softening support amid opposition consolidation. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register below 2% in both polls and market prices, underscoring limited momentum ahead of the October contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 65%
Elmano de Freitas 36%
Eduardo Girão 1.0%
Camilo Santana <1%
$122,635 Обс.
$122,635 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
65%
Elmano de Freitas
36%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Camilo Santana
1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 65%
Elmano de Freitas 36%
Eduardo Girão 1.0%
Camilo Santana <1%
$122,635 Обс.
$122,635 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$71,370 Обс.
65%
Elmano de Freitas
$21,101 Обс.
36%
Eduardo Girão
$8,592 Обс.
1%
Camilo Santana
$6,382 Обс.
1%
Capitão Wagner
$8,173 Обс.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$7,016 Обс.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads trader pricing at 64.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round Ceará gubernatorial vote due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Recent surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, place Gomes in the mid-40s percent range in simulated first rounds, ahead of Freitas by 10 points or more, reflecting his strengthened PSDB alliance and broad name recognition from prior governorship and national campaigns. Freitas remains competitive at 35.5% on the strength of his 2022 mandate and PT base, though recent data indicate softening support amid opposition consolidation. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register below 2% in both polls and market prices, underscoring limited momentum ahead of the October contest.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$122,635Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads trader pricing at 64.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round Ceará gubernatorial vote due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Recent surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, place Gomes in the mid-40s percent range in simulated first rounds, ahead of Freitas by 10 points or more, reflecting his strengthened PSDB alliance and broad name recognition from prior governorship and national campaigns. Freitas remains competitive at 35.5% on the strength of his 2022 mandate and PT base, though recent data indicate softening support amid opposition consolidation. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register below 2% in both polls and market prices, underscoring limited momentum ahead of the October contest.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$122,635Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads trader pricing at 64.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round Ceará gubernatorial vote due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Recent surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, place Gomes in the mid-40s percent range in simulated first rounds, ahead of Freitas by 10 points or more, reflecting his strengthened PSDB alliance and broad name recognition from prior governorship and national campaigns. Freitas remains competitive at 35.5% on the strength of his 2022 mandate and PT base, though recent data indicate softening support amid opposition consolidation. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register below 2% in both polls and market prices, underscoring limited momentum ahead of the October contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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