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Політика·Глобальні вибори

Ceará Governor Election Winner

icon for Ceará Governor Election Winner
Політика·Глобальні вибори

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes 55%

Eduardo Girão 27.2%

Elmano de Freitas 24%

Capitão Wagner 16.3%

Polymarket

$48,990 Обс.

Ciro Gomes 55%

Eduardo Girão 27.2%

Elmano de Freitas 24%

Capitão Wagner 16.3%

Polymarket

$48,990 Обс.

icon for Ciro Gomes

Ciro Gomes

$34,736 Обс.

55%

icon for Eduardo Girão

Eduardo Girão

$2,748 Обс.

14%

icon for Elmano de Freitas

Elmano de Freitas

$4,505 Обс.

24%

icon for Capitão Wagner

Capitão Wagner

$2,920 Обс.

12%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$2,478 Обс.

11%

icon for Roberto Cláudio

Roberto Cláudio

$1,604 Обс.

5%

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls drive trader consensus pricing Ciro Gomes at 55.5% implied probability to win the Ceará governorship, with Veritá (April 23-27) showing him leading first-round valid votes 54% to Elmano de Freitas' 35%, and Quaest (April 24-28) at 41% to 32%. The PSDB challenger's edge stems from strong name recognition as former governor, pulling anti-incumbent voters in a two-round system where October 4 first-round majority avoids runoff on October 25. PT incumbent Elmano trails at 23.5% amid fragmented right-wing support for Eduardo Girão (11.6%), Capitão Wagner (12.4%), and low-polling Camilo Santana (11.6%) and Roberto Cláudio (4.6%). Ciro's mid-May decision between gubernatorial and presidential bids looms as a key uncertainty.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$48,990
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls drive trader consensus pricing Ciro Gomes at 55.5% implied probability to win the Ceará governorship, with Veritá (April 23-27) showing him leading first-round valid votes 54% to Elmano de Freitas' 35%, and Quaest (April 24-28) at 41% to 32%. The PSDB challenger's edge stems from strong name recognition as former governor, pulling anti-incumbent voters in a two-round system where October 4 first-round majority avoids runoff on October 25. PT incumbent Elmano trails at 23.5% amid fragmented right-wing support for Eduardo Girão (11.6%), Capitão Wagner (12.4%), and low-polling Camilo Santana (11.6%) and Roberto Cláudio (4.6%). Ciro's mid-May decision between gubernatorial and presidential bids looms as a key uncertainty.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$48,990
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Ceará Governor Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ciro Gomes» з 56%, далі «Elmano de Freitas» з 24%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Ceará Governor Election Winner» згенерував $49K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 27, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Ceará Governor Election Winner», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Ceará Governor Election Winner» — «Ciro Gomes» з 56%. Наступний — «Elmano de Freitas» з 24%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Ceará Governor Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.