Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a dominant position in the São Paulo governor race through sustained high approval ratings near 55 percent, driven by his pro-market policies including the 2024 Sabesp privatization and steady economic management as incumbent. Recent polls from Ideia and Genial/Quaest show him leading Fernando Haddad by 15–17 points in first-round scenarios ahead of the October 2026 vote, with opposition fragmentation after withdrawals by figures like Kim Kataguiri strengthening his path to outright victory. Trader consensus reflects this polling consistency and limited viable challengers, though late developments such as scandals or alliance shifts could still alter the outcome before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTarcísio de Freitas 96.2%
Fernando Haddad 3.9%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$283,408 Обс.
$283,408 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
96%
Fernando Haddad
4%
Erika Hilton
<1%
Kim Kataguiri
<1%
Márcio França
<1%
Tarcísio de Freitas 96.2%
Fernando Haddad 3.9%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$283,408 Обс.
$283,408 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
$127,023 Обс.
96%
Fernando Haddad
$47,234 Обс.
4%
Erika Hilton
$22,704 Обс.
<1%
Kim Kataguiri
$75,779 Обс.
<1%
Márcio França
$10,668 Обс.
<1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a dominant position in the São Paulo governor race through sustained high approval ratings near 55 percent, driven by his pro-market policies including the 2024 Sabesp privatization and steady economic management as incumbent. Recent polls from Ideia and Genial/Quaest show him leading Fernando Haddad by 15–17 points in first-round scenarios ahead of the October 2026 vote, with opposition fragmentation after withdrawals by figures like Kim Kataguiri strengthening his path to outright victory. Trader consensus reflects this polling consistency and limited viable challengers, though late developments such as scandals or alliance shifts could still alter the outcome before election day.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
Обсяг
$283,408Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a dominant position in the São Paulo governor race through sustained high approval ratings near 55 percent, driven by his pro-market policies including the 2024 Sabesp privatization and steady economic management as incumbent. Recent polls from Ideia and Genial/Quaest show him leading Fernando Haddad by 15–17 points in first-round scenarios ahead of the October 2026 vote, with opposition fragmentation after withdrawals by figures like Kim Kataguiri strengthening his path to outright victory. Trader consensus reflects this polling consistency and limited viable challengers, though late developments such as scandals or alliance shifts could still alter the outcome before election day.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$283,408Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a dominant position in the São Paulo governor race through sustained high approval ratings near 55 percent, driven by his pro-market policies including the 2024 Sabesp privatization and steady economic management as incumbent. Recent polls from Ideia and Genial/Quaest show him leading Fernando Haddad by 15–17 points in first-round scenarios ahead of the October 2026 vote, with opposition fragmentation after withdrawals by figures like Kim Kataguiri strengthening his path to outright victory. Trader consensus reflects this polling consistency and limited viable challengers, though late developments such as scandals or alliance shifts could still alter the outcome before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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