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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Світ·Бразилія

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Світ·Бразилія

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Augusto Cury 52.5%

Renan Santos 41%

Ronaldo Caiado 5%

Flávio Bolsonaro 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,075,279 Обс.

Augusto Cury 52.5%

Renan Santos 41%

Ronaldo Caiado 5%

Flávio Bolsonaro 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,075,279 Обс.

icon for Augusto Cury

Augusto Cury

$158,928 Обс.

53%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$297,035 Обс.

41%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$117,317 Обс.

5%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$68,557 Обс.

2%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$51,888 Обс.

1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$53,032 Обс.

1%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$49,765 Обс.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$15,847 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$16,773 Обс.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$23,204 Обс.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$20,815 Обс.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$46,212 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$104,208 Обс.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$13,084 Обс.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$11,811 Обс.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$9,865 Обс.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$9,374 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Обс.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Обс.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Augusto Cury leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent polling shows the Avante candidate rising sharply to 7–11 percent after television interviews and social-media growth positioned him as a centrist outsider appealing to voters weary of polarization between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Renan Santos of the Missão party trails at roughly 5–6 percent in surveys, drawing support from younger and anti-establishment voters but without matching Cury’s recent momentum. Ronaldo Caiado and lower-polling figures such as Romeu Zema remain distant, reflecting fragmented center-right support and the dominance of the two frontrunners in vote-intention data. Cury’s independent profile and late-August gains have shifted implied probabilities toward him finishing ahead of other non-major-party contenders.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$1,075,279
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Augusto Cury leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent polling shows the Avante candidate rising sharply to 7–11 percent after television interviews and social-media growth positioned him as a centrist outsider appealing to voters weary of polarization between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Renan Santos of the Missão party trails at roughly 5–6 percent in surveys, drawing support from younger and anti-establishment voters but without matching Cury’s recent momentum. Ronaldo Caiado and lower-polling figures such as Romeu Zema remain distant, reflecting fragmented center-right support and the dominance of the two frontrunners in vote-intention data. Cury’s independent profile and late-August gains have shifted implied probabilities toward him finishing ahead of other non-major-party contenders.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$1,075,279
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...

Пов'язане

icon for Чи займе Флавіо Болсонару друге місце у першому турі президентських виборів у Бразилії 2026 року?

Чи займе Флавіо Болсонару друге місце у першому турі президентських виборів у Бразилії 2026 року?

73%
Так
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

74%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?

93%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 19 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Augusto Cury» з 53%, далі «Renan Santos» з 41%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place» згенерував $1.1 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 11, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place», перегляньте 19 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place» — «Augusto Cury» з 53%. Наступний — «Renan Santos» з 41%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.