In the Tocantins federal Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Eduardo Gomes holds a polling edge for first place while multiple contenders vie for second. Recent candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, with Irajá Abreu’s withdrawal consolidating some support but leaving names like Alexandre Guimarães, Carlos Gaguim, Eli Borges, and Professor Osvaldo in close contention per available surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from similar vote-share bases among these candidates, limited recent polling differentiation, and Brazil’s multi-candidate dynamics where turnout, regional alliances, and late campaign shifts can reorder placements. Developments such as party coalitions, additional candidate exits, or updated statewide surveys could separate the pack before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоApóstolo Flavio Braga 26%
Eduardo Gomes 25%
Eli Borges 22%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
26%
Eduardo Gomes
25%
Eli Borges
23%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
22%
Professor Osvaldo
24%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
20%
Fábio Ribeiro
19%
Alexandre Guimarães
18%
Gaguim
13%
Nilton Santos
20%
Paulo Mourão
14%
Osvany Luz
13%
Ronaldo Dimas
6%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga 26%
Eduardo Gomes 25%
Eli Borges 22%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$40 Обс.
26%
Eduardo Gomes
$40 Обс.
25%
Eli Borges
$60 Обс.
23%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$40 Обс.
22%
Professor Osvaldo
$52 Обс.
24%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$40 Обс.
20%
Fábio Ribeiro
$40 Обс.
19%
Alexandre Guimarães
$40 Обс.
18%
Gaguim
$40 Обс.
13%
Nilton Santos
$52 Обс.
20%
Paulo Mourão
$40 Обс.
14%
Osvany Luz
$40 Обс.
13%
Ronaldo Dimas
$40 Обс.
6%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins federal Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Eduardo Gomes holds a polling edge for first place while multiple contenders vie for second. Recent candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, with Irajá Abreu’s withdrawal consolidating some support but leaving names like Alexandre Guimarães, Carlos Gaguim, Eli Borges, and Professor Osvaldo in close contention per available surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from similar vote-share bases among these candidates, limited recent polling differentiation, and Brazil’s multi-candidate dynamics where turnout, regional alliances, and late campaign shifts can reorder placements. Developments such as party coalitions, additional candidate exits, or updated statewide surveys could separate the pack before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Обсяг
$564Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins federal Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Eduardo Gomes holds a polling edge for first place while multiple contenders vie for second. Recent candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, with Irajá Abreu’s withdrawal consolidating some support but leaving names like Alexandre Guimarães, Carlos Gaguim, Eli Borges, and Professor Osvaldo in close contention per available surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from similar vote-share bases among these candidates, limited recent polling differentiation, and Brazil’s multi-candidate dynamics where turnout, regional alliances, and late campaign shifts can reorder placements. Developments such as party coalitions, additional candidate exits, or updated statewide surveys could separate the pack before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$564Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Tocantins federal Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Eduardo Gomes holds a polling edge for first place while multiple contenders vie for second. Recent candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, with Irajá Abreu’s withdrawal consolidating some support but leaving names like Alexandre Guimarães, Carlos Gaguim, Eli Borges, and Professor Osvaldo in close contention per available surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from similar vote-share bases among these candidates, limited recent polling differentiation, and Brazil’s multi-candidate dynamics where turnout, regional alliances, and late campaign shifts can reorder placements. Developments such as party coalitions, additional candidate exits, or updated statewide surveys could separate the pack before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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