Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a fragmented field for Tocantins' two Federal Senate seats, with Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a narrow lead around 31% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) trail closely behind; this aligns with trader pricing that keeps multiple candidates in contention near 40-45%. Candidate registrations finalized after August conventions added names such as Apóstolo Flavio Braga, Osvany Luz, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo, further diluting support and preventing any single contender from consolidating early momentum. The October 4 election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by party alliances, regional turnout patterns in the North, and potential late endorsements or debates that could separate the top vote-getters in this multi-candidate contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRonaldo Dimas 39%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga 38%
Gaguim 37%
Professor Osvaldo 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Ronaldo Dimas
39%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
38%
Gaguim
37%
Professor Osvaldo
37%
Eli Borges
36%
Osvany Luz
36%
Alexandre Guimarães
32%
Paulo Mourão
25%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
24%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
23%
Fábio Ribeiro
21%
Nilton Santos
20%
Eduardo Gomes
41%
Ronaldo Dimas 39%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga 38%
Gaguim 37%
Professor Osvaldo 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Ronaldo Dimas
$41 Обс.
39%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$41 Обс.
38%
Gaguim
$41 Обс.
37%
Professor Osvaldo
$41 Обс.
37%
Eli Borges
$41 Обс.
36%
Osvany Luz
$41 Обс.
36%
Alexandre Guimarães
$41 Обс.
32%
Paulo Mourão
$41 Обс.
25%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$41 Обс.
24%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$41 Обс.
23%
Fábio Ribeiro
$41 Обс.
21%
Nilton Santos
$41 Обс.
20%
Eduardo Gomes
$41 Обс.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a fragmented field for Tocantins' two Federal Senate seats, with Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a narrow lead around 31% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) trail closely behind; this aligns with trader pricing that keeps multiple candidates in contention near 40-45%. Candidate registrations finalized after August conventions added names such as Apóstolo Flavio Braga, Osvany Luz, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo, further diluting support and preventing any single contender from consolidating early momentum. The October 4 election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by party alliances, regional turnout patterns in the North, and potential late endorsements or debates that could separate the top vote-getters in this multi-candidate contest.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Обсяг
$533Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a fragmented field for Tocantins' two Federal Senate seats, with Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a narrow lead around 31% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) trail closely behind; this aligns with trader pricing that keeps multiple candidates in contention near 40-45%. Candidate registrations finalized after August conventions added names such as Apóstolo Flavio Braga, Osvany Luz, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo, further diluting support and preventing any single contender from consolidating early momentum. The October 4 election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by party alliances, regional turnout patterns in the North, and potential late endorsements or debates that could separate the top vote-getters in this multi-candidate contest.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$533Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a fragmented field for Tocantins' two Federal Senate seats, with Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a narrow lead around 31% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) trail closely behind; this aligns with trader pricing that keeps multiple candidates in contention near 40-45%. Candidate registrations finalized after August conventions added names such as Apóstolo Flavio Braga, Osvany Luz, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo, further diluting support and preventing any single contender from consolidating early momentum. The October 4 election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by party alliances, regional turnout patterns in the North, and potential late endorsements or debates that could separate the top vote-getters in this multi-candidate contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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