Recent polls in the Federal District Senate race show incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT) holding a clear lead for one of the two seats up for election on October 4, while the contest for second place remains fragmented among right-leaning contenders. Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) and Ronaldo Fonseca register as the strongest challengers in available surveys, yet multiple other candidates draw measurable support amid recent party conventions and alignments with the broader national contest. High rejection rates for prominent names, substantial undecided voters, and the mechanics of voters selecting two distinct candidates sustain tight implied probabilities across the field. Late shifts in turnout among conservative or centrist blocs, or any consolidation behind a single alternative, could separate the pack before ballots close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоZanata 40%
Leila do Vôlei 36%
Professor Guilherme Amorim 25%
Sebastião Coelho 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Zanata
40%
Leila do Vôlei
36%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
25%
Sebastião Coelho
25%
Avenir Rosa
25%
Erika Kokay
25%
Tiago
24%
Michelle Bolsonaro
23%
David Horn
22%
Bia Kicis
22%
Marley
22%
Guto Felício dos Santos
21%
Ronaldo Fonseca
21%
Zanata 40%
Leila do Vôlei 36%
Professor Guilherme Amorim 25%
Sebastião Coelho 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Zanata
$0 Обс.
40%
Leila do Vôlei
$0 Обс.
36%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$0 Обс.
25%
Sebastião Coelho
$0 Обс.
25%
Avenir Rosa
$0 Обс.
25%
Erika Kokay
$0 Обс.
25%
Tiago
$0 Обс.
24%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$0 Обс.
23%
David Horn
$0 Обс.
22%
Bia Kicis
$0 Обс.
22%
Marley
$0 Обс.
22%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$0 Обс.
21%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$0 Обс.
21%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in the Federal District Senate race show incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT) holding a clear lead for one of the two seats up for election on October 4, while the contest for second place remains fragmented among right-leaning contenders. Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) and Ronaldo Fonseca register as the strongest challengers in available surveys, yet multiple other candidates draw measurable support amid recent party conventions and alignments with the broader national contest. High rejection rates for prominent names, substantial undecided voters, and the mechanics of voters selecting two distinct candidates sustain tight implied probabilities across the field. Late shifts in turnout among conservative or centrist blocs, or any consolidation behind a single alternative, could separate the pack before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in the Federal District Senate race show incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT) holding a clear lead for one of the two seats up for election on October 4, while the contest for second place remains fragmented among right-leaning contenders. Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) and Ronaldo Fonseca register as the strongest challengers in available surveys, yet multiple other candidates draw measurable support amid recent party conventions and alignments with the broader national contest. High rejection rates for prominent names, substantial undecided voters, and the mechanics of voters selecting two distinct candidates sustain tight implied probabilities across the field. Late shifts in turnout among conservative or centrist blocs, or any consolidation behind a single alternative, could separate the pack before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in the Federal District Senate race show incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT) holding a clear lead for one of the two seats up for election on October 4, while the contest for second place remains fragmented among right-leaning contenders. Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) and Ronaldo Fonseca register as the strongest challengers in available surveys, yet multiple other candidates draw measurable support amid recent party conventions and alignments with the broader national contest. High rejection rates for prominent names, substantial undecided voters, and the mechanics of voters selecting two distinct candidates sustain tight implied probabilities across the field. Late shifts in turnout among conservative or centrist blocs, or any consolidation behind a single alternative, could separate the pack before ballots close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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