Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Bahia governor election, reflecting his stable approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s and recovered support among municipal leaders after earlier setbacks. Recent Genial/Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys show a tight first-round contest with ACM Neto, often within or near the margin of error, underscoring the rematch dynamics from 2022 and limited inroads by other candidates. National political realignments, including União Brasil's break from the federal government and ACM Neto's positioning, have not yet shifted the balance decisively in polls or market pricing, though both sides continue coalition-building ahead of the October vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJerônimo Rodrigues 57%
ACM Neto 40%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$99,981 Обс.
$99,981 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
57%
ACM Neto
40%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 57%
ACM Neto 40%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$99,981 Обс.
$99,981 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$32,670 Обс.
57%
ACM Neto
$32,873 Обс.
40%
Kleber Rosa
$10,037 Обс.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$8,143 Обс.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 Обс.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Обс.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Bahia governor election, reflecting his stable approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s and recovered support among municipal leaders after earlier setbacks. Recent Genial/Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys show a tight first-round contest with ACM Neto, often within or near the margin of error, underscoring the rematch dynamics from 2022 and limited inroads by other candidates. National political realignments, including União Brasil's break from the federal government and ACM Neto's positioning, have not yet shifted the balance decisively in polls or market pricing, though both sides continue coalition-building ahead of the October vote.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$99,981Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Bahia governor election, reflecting his stable approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s and recovered support among municipal leaders after earlier setbacks. Recent Genial/Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys show a tight first-round contest with ACM Neto, often within or near the margin of error, underscoring the rematch dynamics from 2022 and limited inroads by other candidates. National political realignments, including União Brasil's break from the federal government and ACM Neto's positioning, have not yet shifted the balance decisively in polls or market pricing, though both sides continue coalition-building ahead of the October vote.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$99,981Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Bahia governor election, reflecting his stable approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s and recovered support among municipal leaders after earlier setbacks. Recent Genial/Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys show a tight first-round contest with ACM Neto, often within or near the margin of error, underscoring the rematch dynamics from 2022 and limited inroads by other candidates. National political realignments, including União Brasil's break from the federal government and ACM Neto's positioning, have not yet shifted the balance decisively in polls or market pricing, though both sides continue coalition-building ahead of the October vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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