The tight Bahia gubernatorial race pits incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) against former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) in a 2022 rematch. Recent state polls show the candidates in technical ties or minimal first-round margins, with Rodrigues maintaining approval ratings of 56-61% on education and infrastructure while Neto draws on his mayoral record and right-wing alignment after his party's 2025 break from the federal government. Traders price this near-even contest at slight incumbent favoritism, reflecting recovered support for Rodrigues amid national shifts and campaign positioning. A late debate and ongoing judicial oversight of early attacks could influence momentum before the October vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJerônimo Rodrigues 53%
ACM Neto 46%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$101,552 Обс.
$101,552 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
53%
ACM Neto
46%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 53%
ACM Neto 46%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$101,552 Обс.
$101,552 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$33,669 Обс.
53%
ACM Neto
$33,444 Обс.
46%
Kleber Rosa
$10,037 Обс.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$8,143 Обс.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 Обс.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Обс.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight Bahia gubernatorial race pits incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) against former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) in a 2022 rematch. Recent state polls show the candidates in technical ties or minimal first-round margins, with Rodrigues maintaining approval ratings of 56-61% on education and infrastructure while Neto draws on his mayoral record and right-wing alignment after his party's 2025 break from the federal government. Traders price this near-even contest at slight incumbent favoritism, reflecting recovered support for Rodrigues amid national shifts and campaign positioning. A late debate and ongoing judicial oversight of early attacks could influence momentum before the October vote.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$101,552Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight Bahia gubernatorial race pits incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) against former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) in a 2022 rematch. Recent state polls show the candidates in technical ties or minimal first-round margins, with Rodrigues maintaining approval ratings of 56-61% on education and infrastructure while Neto draws on his mayoral record and right-wing alignment after his party's 2025 break from the federal government. Traders price this near-even contest at slight incumbent favoritism, reflecting recovered support for Rodrigues amid national shifts and campaign positioning. A late debate and ongoing judicial oversight of early attacks could influence momentum before the October vote.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$101,552Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight Bahia gubernatorial race pits incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) against former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) in a 2022 rematch. Recent state polls show the candidates in technical ties or minimal first-round margins, with Rodrigues maintaining approval ratings of 56-61% on education and infrastructure while Neto draws on his mayoral record and right-wing alignment after his party's 2025 break from the federal government. Traders price this near-even contest at slight incumbent favoritism, reflecting recovered support for Rodrigues amid national shifts and campaign positioning. A late debate and ongoing judicial oversight of early attacks could influence momentum before the October vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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