Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race with 56.5% implied probability, ahead of Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 33.5%, as recent polling shows him consolidating support in a polarized contest. Zucco, backed by a broad right-wing coalition including PL, PP, and Novo, has gained ground in late August and early September surveys such as AtlasIntel, where he reached 44% in the first round and held a narrow edge in second-round matchups. Brizola, supported by the PDT-PT alliance, maintains a competitive base but trails in the most current estimates after earlier technical ties. Lower-polling candidates including Gabriel Souza (MDB), Marcelo Maranata (PSDB), and others remain marginal factors ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Trader positioning reflects Zucco's polling momentum and coalition strength in the closing weeks of the campaign.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Luciano Zucco 52%
Juliana Brizola 35%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
Gabriel Souza <1%
$102,383 Обс.
$102,383 Обс.
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
52%
Juliana Brizola
35%
Marcelo Maranata
1%
Gabriel Souza
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 52%
Juliana Brizola 35%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
Gabriel Souza <1%
$102,383 Обс.
$102,383 Обс.
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
$46,572 Обс.
52%
Juliana Brizola
$35,419 Обс.
35%
Marcelo Maranata
$7,151 Обс.
1%
Gabriel Souza
$10,276 Обс.
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$2,966 Обс.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race with 56.5% implied probability, ahead of Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 33.5%, as recent polling shows him consolidating support in a polarized contest. Zucco, backed by a broad right-wing coalition including PL, PP, and Novo, has gained ground in late August and early September surveys such as AtlasIntel, where he reached 44% in the first round and held a narrow edge in second-round matchups. Brizola, supported by the PDT-PT alliance, maintains a competitive base but trails in the most current estimates after earlier technical ties. Lower-polling candidates including Gabriel Souza (MDB), Marcelo Maranata (PSDB), and others remain marginal factors ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Trader positioning reflects Zucco's polling momentum and coalition strength in the closing weeks of the campaign.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Обсяг
$102,383Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race with 56.5% implied probability, ahead of Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 33.5%, as recent polling shows him consolidating support in a polarized contest. Zucco, backed by a broad right-wing coalition including PL, PP, and Novo, has gained ground in late August and early September surveys such as AtlasIntel, where he reached 44% in the first round and held a narrow edge in second-round matchups. Brizola, supported by the PDT-PT alliance, maintains a competitive base but trails in the most current estimates after earlier technical ties. Lower-polling candidates including Gabriel Souza (MDB), Marcelo Maranata (PSDB), and others remain marginal factors ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Trader positioning reflects Zucco's polling momentum and coalition strength in the closing weeks of the campaign.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$102,383Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race with 56.5% implied probability, ahead of Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 33.5%, as recent polling shows him consolidating support in a polarized contest. Zucco, backed by a broad right-wing coalition including PL, PP, and Novo, has gained ground in late August and early September surveys such as AtlasIntel, where he reached 44% in the first round and held a narrow edge in second-round matchups. Brizola, supported by the PDT-PT alliance, maintains a competitive base but trails in the most current estimates after earlier technical ties. Lower-polling candidates including Gabriel Souza (MDB), Marcelo Maranata (PSDB), and others remain marginal factors ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Trader positioning reflects Zucco's polling momentum and coalition strength in the closing weeks of the campaign.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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