Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor seeking re-election on the PP ticket, maintains a commanding lead in recent polls with first-round support near 46-54% and even stronger runoff margins against potential opponents. His position reflects sustained approval ratings above 60% after three-plus years in office, backed by established alliances across center-right parties and a focus on state economic priorities ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Traders' 92.5% consensus on Riedel winning aligns with these fundamentals and historical incumbent advantages in Brazilian gubernatorial races. A realistic challenge would require major polling erosion from an opposition surge—such as by Fábio Trad or Delcidio Amaral—or late developments like coalition fractures or unforeseen scandals within the final campaign weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоEduardo Riedel 93%
Delcidio Amaral 5%
Economista Renato Gomes 1.9%
Daniel Lemes <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Riedel
93%
Delcidio Amaral
5%
Economista Renato Gomes
2%
Daniel Lemes
1%
João Henrique Catan
1%
Lucien Rezende
1%
Fábio Trad
<1%
Jeferson Bezerra
<1%
Eduardo Riedel 93%
Delcidio Amaral 5%
Economista Renato Gomes 1.9%
Daniel Lemes <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Riedel
$1,698 Обс.
93%
Delcidio Amaral
$231 Обс.
5%
Economista Renato Gomes
$247 Обс.
2%
Daniel Lemes
$265 Обс.
1%
João Henrique Catan
$262 Обс.
1%
Lucien Rezende
$285 Обс.
1%
Fábio Trad
$292 Обс.
<1%
Jeferson Bezerra
$292 Обс.
<1%
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor seeking re-election on the PP ticket, maintains a commanding lead in recent polls with first-round support near 46-54% and even stronger runoff margins against potential opponents. His position reflects sustained approval ratings above 60% after three-plus years in office, backed by established alliances across center-right parties and a focus on state economic priorities ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Traders' 92.5% consensus on Riedel winning aligns with these fundamentals and historical incumbent advantages in Brazilian gubernatorial races. A realistic challenge would require major polling erosion from an opposition surge—such as by Fábio Trad or Delcidio Amaral—or late developments like coalition fractures or unforeseen scandals within the final campaign weeks.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,574Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor seeking re-election on the PP ticket, maintains a commanding lead in recent polls with first-round support near 46-54% and even stronger runoff margins against potential opponents. His position reflects sustained approval ratings above 60% after three-plus years in office, backed by established alliances across center-right parties and a focus on state economic priorities ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Traders' 92.5% consensus on Riedel winning aligns with these fundamentals and historical incumbent advantages in Brazilian gubernatorial races. A realistic challenge would require major polling erosion from an opposition surge—such as by Fábio Trad or Delcidio Amaral—or late developments like coalition fractures or unforeseen scandals within the final campaign weeks.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$3,574Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor seeking re-election on the PP ticket, maintains a commanding lead in recent polls with first-round support near 46-54% and even stronger runoff margins against potential opponents. His position reflects sustained approval ratings above 60% after three-plus years in office, backed by established alliances across center-right parties and a focus on state economic priorities ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Traders' 92.5% consensus on Riedel winning aligns with these fundamentals and historical incumbent advantages in Brazilian gubernatorial races. A realistic challenge would require major polling erosion from an opposition surge—such as by Fábio Trad or Delcidio Amaral—or late developments like coalition fractures or unforeseen scandals within the final campaign weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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