Recent polling in Mato Grosso shows a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with Wellington Fagundes (PL) and Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) trading modest leads around 25-35% while Natasha Slhessarenko and several others register single-digit or low double-digit support. High undecided rates near 25% and the possibility of a runoff keep implied probabilities dispersed across multiple names. No major party endorsements, alliance announcements, or scandals have consolidated support in the past month. Traders appear to price in continued fragmentation, with separation likely only after formal candidate registrations close or clear second-round pairings emerge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMauricio Coelho 43%
Rafaell Milas 43%
Sargento Laudicério 43%
Otaviano Pivetta 41%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Mauricio Coelho
43%
Rafaell Milas
43%
Sargento Laudicério
43%
Otaviano Pivetta
41%
Doutora Natasha
41%
Wellington Fagundes
39%
Mauricio Coelho 43%
Rafaell Milas 43%
Sargento Laudicério 43%
Otaviano Pivetta 41%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Mauricio Coelho
$0 Обс.
43%
Rafaell Milas
$0 Обс.
43%
Sargento Laudicério
$0 Обс.
43%
Otaviano Pivetta
$0 Обс.
41%
Doutora Natasha
$0 Обс.
41%
Wellington Fagundes
$0 Обс.
39%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Mato Grosso shows a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with Wellington Fagundes (PL) and Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) trading modest leads around 25-35% while Natasha Slhessarenko and several others register single-digit or low double-digit support. High undecided rates near 25% and the possibility of a runoff keep implied probabilities dispersed across multiple names. No major party endorsements, alliance announcements, or scandals have consolidated support in the past month. Traders appear to price in continued fragmentation, with separation likely only after formal candidate registrations close or clear second-round pairings emerge.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Mato Grosso shows a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with Wellington Fagundes (PL) and Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) trading modest leads around 25-35% while Natasha Slhessarenko and several others register single-digit or low double-digit support. High undecided rates near 25% and the possibility of a runoff keep implied probabilities dispersed across multiple names. No major party endorsements, alliance announcements, or scandals have consolidated support in the past month. Traders appear to price in continued fragmentation, with separation likely only after formal candidate registrations close or clear second-round pairings emerge.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Mato Grosso shows a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with Wellington Fagundes (PL) and Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) trading modest leads around 25-35% while Natasha Slhessarenko and several others register single-digit or low double-digit support. High undecided rates near 25% and the possibility of a runoff keep implied probabilities dispersed across multiple names. No major party endorsements, alliance announcements, or scandals have consolidated support in the past month. Traders appear to price in continued fragmentation, with separation likely only after formal candidate registrations close or clear second-round pairings emerge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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