Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor, holds a 70.5% implied probability in the market as traders weigh her established position ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent September polling shows her leading or statistically tied with main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) in multiple surveys, including leads of 43-48% versus 38-42% in Gauss and AtlasIntel data, supported by her broad coalition encompassing MDB, PT, PSDB-Cidadania, and other parties. Her visibility from COP30 organization and recent health policy proposals further bolster positioning. Daniel Santos registers 23.5%, reflecting consistent second-place standing but limited momentum in most late-cycle indicators. Minor candidates and “other” options remain at negligible levels consistent with low single-digit or sub-1% polling support.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHana Ghassan 65%
Dr. Daniel Santos 31%
Éder Mauro <1%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
$53,135 Обс.
$53,135 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
Hana Ghassan
65%
Dr. Daniel Santos
31%
Éder Mauro
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Hana Ghassan 65%
Dr. Daniel Santos 31%
Éder Mauro <1%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
$53,135 Обс.
$53,135 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
Hana Ghassan
$19,908 Обс.
65%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$13,861 Обс.
31%
Éder Mauro
$5,908 Обс.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$3,372 Обс.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$3,423 Обс.
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$3,405 Обс.
<1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$3,259 Обс.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor, holds a 70.5% implied probability in the market as traders weigh her established position ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent September polling shows her leading or statistically tied with main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) in multiple surveys, including leads of 43-48% versus 38-42% in Gauss and AtlasIntel data, supported by her broad coalition encompassing MDB, PT, PSDB-Cidadania, and other parties. Her visibility from COP30 organization and recent health policy proposals further bolster positioning. Daniel Santos registers 23.5%, reflecting consistent second-place standing but limited momentum in most late-cycle indicators. Minor candidates and “other” options remain at negligible levels consistent with low single-digit or sub-1% polling support.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$53,135Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor, holds a 70.5% implied probability in the market as traders weigh her established position ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent September polling shows her leading or statistically tied with main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) in multiple surveys, including leads of 43-48% versus 38-42% in Gauss and AtlasIntel data, supported by her broad coalition encompassing MDB, PT, PSDB-Cidadania, and other parties. Her visibility from COP30 organization and recent health policy proposals further bolster positioning. Daniel Santos registers 23.5%, reflecting consistent second-place standing but limited momentum in most late-cycle indicators. Minor candidates and “other” options remain at negligible levels consistent with low single-digit or sub-1% polling support.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$53,135Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor, holds a 70.5% implied probability in the market as traders weigh her established position ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent September polling shows her leading or statistically tied with main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) in multiple surveys, including leads of 43-48% versus 38-42% in Gauss and AtlasIntel data, supported by her broad coalition encompassing MDB, PT, PSDB-Cidadania, and other parties. Her visibility from COP30 organization and recent health policy proposals further bolster positioning. Daniel Santos registers 23.5%, reflecting consistent second-place standing but limited momentum in most late-cycle indicators. Minor candidates and “other” options remain at negligible levels consistent with low single-digit or sub-1% polling support.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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