The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing incumbent Governor Hana Ghassan (MDB) and Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) statistically tied in first-round scenarios at 24% and 20%, respectively, amid 39% undecided or blank responses. Ghassan assumed the governorship in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, providing her with state machinery and institutional visibility, while Santos, the former Ananindeua mayor who switched parties to launch his bid, draws on local name recognition and leads or matches in some earlier surveys. High voter indecision, multiple minor candidates splitting preferences, and the absence of major campaign events or endorsements keep implied probabilities clustered near even for the frontrunners. Developments such as coalition formations, COP 30-related visibility for the incumbent, or shifts in rejection rates could widen the gap before primaries or the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPará Governor Election Winner
Pará Governor Election Winner
Dr. Daniel Santos 49%
Hana Ghassan 42%
Zequinha Marinho 3.1%
Éder Mauro 3.1%
$22,248 Обс.
$22,248 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
Dr. Daniel Santos
49%
Hana Ghassan
42%
Zequinha Marinho
3%
Éder Mauro
3%
Dirceu Ten Caten
3%
Rogério Barra
1%
Paulo Rocha
6%
Dr. Daniel Santos 49%
Hana Ghassan 42%
Zequinha Marinho 3.1%
Éder Mauro 3.1%
$22,248 Обс.
$22,248 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
Dr. Daniel Santos
$6,712 Обс.
49%
Hana Ghassan
$9,597 Обс.
42%
Zequinha Marinho
$612 Обс.
3%
Éder Mauro
$2,909 Обс.
3%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$725 Обс.
3%
Rogério Barra
$797 Обс.
1%
Paulo Rocha
$895 Обс.
6%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing incumbent Governor Hana Ghassan (MDB) and Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) statistically tied in first-round scenarios at 24% and 20%, respectively, amid 39% undecided or blank responses. Ghassan assumed the governorship in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, providing her with state machinery and institutional visibility, while Santos, the former Ananindeua mayor who switched parties to launch his bid, draws on local name recognition and leads or matches in some earlier surveys. High voter indecision, multiple minor candidates splitting preferences, and the absence of major campaign events or endorsements keep implied probabilities clustered near even for the frontrunners. Developments such as coalition formations, COP 30-related visibility for the incumbent, or shifts in rejection rates could widen the gap before primaries or the general election.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$22,248Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing incumbent Governor Hana Ghassan (MDB) and Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) statistically tied in first-round scenarios at 24% and 20%, respectively, amid 39% undecided or blank responses. Ghassan assumed the governorship in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, providing her with state machinery and institutional visibility, while Santos, the former Ananindeua mayor who switched parties to launch his bid, draws on local name recognition and leads or matches in some earlier surveys. High voter indecision, multiple minor candidates splitting preferences, and the absence of major campaign events or endorsements keep implied probabilities clustered near even for the frontrunners. Developments such as coalition formations, COP 30-related visibility for the incumbent, or shifts in rejection rates could widen the gap before primaries or the general election.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$22,248Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing incumbent Governor Hana Ghassan (MDB) and Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) statistically tied in first-round scenarios at 24% and 20%, respectively, amid 39% undecided or blank responses. Ghassan assumed the governorship in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, providing her with state machinery and institutional visibility, while Santos, the former Ananindeua mayor who switched parties to launch his bid, draws on local name recognition and leads or matches in some earlier surveys. High voter indecision, multiple minor candidates splitting preferences, and the absence of major campaign events or endorsements keep implied probabilities clustered near even for the frontrunners. Developments such as coalition formations, COP 30-related visibility for the incumbent, or shifts in rejection rates could widen the gap before primaries or the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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